Sequential Monte Carlo smoothing with application to parameter estimation in nonlinear state space models

被引:74
作者
Olsson, Jimmy [1 ]
Cappe, Olivier [1 ]
Douc, Randal [2 ]
Moulines, Eric [1 ]
机构
[1] Ecole Natl Super Telecommun Bretagne, Paris, France
[2] Ecole Polytech, CMAP, F-91128 Palaiseau, France
关键词
EM algorithm; exponential family; particle filters; sequential Monte Carlo methods; state space models; stochastic volatility model;
D O I
10.3150/07-BEJ6150
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
This paper concerns the use of sequential Monte Carlo methods (SMC) for smoothing in general state space models. A well-known problem when applying the standard SMC technique in the smoothing mode is that the resampling mechanism introduces degeneracy of the approximation in the path space. However, when performing maximum likelihood estimation via the EM algorithm, all functionals involved are of additive form for a large subclass of models. To cope with the problem in this case, a modification of the standard method (based on a technique proposed by Kitagawa and Sato) is suggested. Our algorithm relies on forgetting properties of the filtering dynamics and the quality of the estimates produced is investigated, both theoretically and via simulations.
引用
收藏
页码:155 / 179
页数:25
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