Stochastic Method in Tourism Dynamic Modeling

In this paper, we present a dynamic model to simulation tourism and tourist's activities in the context of stochastic method. In the model, the spatiotemporal behavior of tourist on the Earth's Surface is governed by the evolution rules that are extracted from the researches on tourist's activities and executed via stochastic method and multiple geospatial data. By means of this model, we simulate the tourism in the research region, and find there is good correspondence between the tourist arrivals calculated with the model and those obtained from the tourism statistics. This shows that the animated dynamic modeling of tourism based on geospatial data can be used as an indicator of the tourism in the realistic world, and is also helpful for analyzing the impacts of the natural and social factors on the development of tourism.