Global stability for cholera epidemic models

被引:153
作者
Tian, Jianjun Paul [1 ]
Wang, Jin [2 ]
机构
[1] Coll William & Mary, Dept Math, Williamsburg, VA 23187 USA
[2] Old Dominion Univ, Dept Math & Stat, Norfolk, VA 23529 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
Cholera model; Global stability; Dynamical systems; REPRODUCTION NUMBERS; INFECTIOUS-DISEASES; MATHEMATICAL-MODEL; GEOMETRIC APPROACH; SEIR MODEL; DYNAMICS; HYPERINFECTIVITY; HOST; BACTERIOPHAGE; TRANSMISSION;
D O I
10.1016/j.mbs.2011.04.001
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Cholera is a water and food borne infectious disease caused by the gram-negative bacterium, Vibrio cholerae. Its dynamics are highly complex owing to the coupling among multiple transmission pathways and different factors in pathogen ecology. Although various mathematical models and clinical studies published in recent years have made important contribution to cholera epidemiology, our knowledge of the disease mechanism remains incomplete at present, largely due to the limited understanding of the dynamics of cholera. In this paper, we conduct global stability analysis for several deterministic cholera epidemic models. These models, incorporating both human population and pathogen V. cholerae concentration, constitute four-dimensional non-linear autonomous systems where the classical Poincare-Bendixson theory is not applicable. We employ three different techniques, including the monotone dynamical systems, the geometric approach, and Lyapunov functions, to investigate the endemic global stability for several biologically important cases. The analysis and results presented in this paper make building blocks towards a comprehensive study and deeper understanding of the fundamental mechanism in cholera dynamics. (C) 2011 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:31 / 41
页数:11
相关论文
共 57 条
[1]   Hyperinfectivity of human-passaged Vibrio cholerae can be modeled by growth in the infant mouse [J].
Alam, A ;
LaRocque, RC ;
Harris, JB ;
Vanderspurt, C ;
Ryan, ET ;
Qadri, F ;
Calderwood, SB .
INFECTION AND IMMUNITY, 2005, 73 (10) :6674-6679
[2]   On the use of the geometric approach to global stability for three dimensional ODE systems: A bilinear case [J].
Buonomo, Bruno ;
Lacitignola, Deborah .
JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL ANALYSIS AND APPLICATIONS, 2008, 348 (01) :255-266
[3]   UNIFORMLY PERSISTENT SYSTEMS [J].
BUTLER, G ;
FREEDMAN, HI ;
WALTMAN, P .
PROCEEDINGS OF THE AMERICAN MATHEMATICAL SOCIETY, 1986, 96 (03) :425-430
[4]  
CAPASSO V, 1979, REV EPIDEMIOL SANTE, V27, P121
[5]   Bifurcation analysis of a mathematical model for malaria transmission [J].
Chitnis, Nakul ;
Cushing, J. M. ;
Hyman, J. M. .
SIAM JOURNAL ON APPLIED MATHEMATICS, 2006, 67 (01) :24-45
[6]  
Codeço CT, 2001, BMC INFECT DIS, V1, DOI 10.1186/1471-2334-1-1
[7]  
Coppel W.A., 1965, HEATH MATH MONOGRAPH
[8]   3 TYPES OF MATRIX STABILITY [J].
CROSS, GW .
LINEAR ALGEBRA AND ITS APPLICATIONS, 1978, 20 (03) :253-263
[9]   Global stability of an SEIS epidemic model with recruitment and a varying total population size [J].
Fan, M ;
Li, MY ;
Wang, K .
MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES, 2001, 170 (02) :199-208
[10]   Self-limiting nature of seasonal cholera epidemics: Role of host-mediated amplification of phage [J].
Faruque, SM ;
Islam, MJ ;
Ahmad, QS ;
Faruque, ASG ;
Sack, DA ;
Nair, GB ;
Mekalanos, JJ .
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2005, 102 (17) :6119-6124