Uncertain inference using interval probability theory

被引:45
作者
Hall, JW [1 ]
Blockley, DI [1 ]
Davis, JP [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Bristol, Fac Engn, Dept Civil Engn, Bristol BS8 1TR, Avon, England
关键词
interval probability theory; theory of evidence; inference networks; process modelling; Bayesian inference;
D O I
10.1016/S0888-613X(98)10010-5
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
The use of interval probability theory (IPT) for uncertain inference is demonstrated. The general inference rule adopted is the theorem of total probability. This enables information on the relevance of the elements of the power set of evidence to be combined with the measures of the support for and dependence between each item of evidence. The approach recognises the importance of the structure of inference problems and yet is an open world theory in which the domain need not be completely specified in order to obtain meaningful inferences. IPT is used to manipulate conflicting evidence and to merge evidence on the dependability of a process with the data handled by that process. Uncertain inference using IPT is compared with Bayesian inference. (C) 1998 Elsevier Science Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:247 / 264
页数:18
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