Quantum decision theory augments rank-dependent expected utility and Cumulative Prospect Theory

被引:13
作者
Ferro, Giuseppe M. [1 ]
Kovalenko, Tatyana [1 ]
Sornette, Didier [1 ,2 ,3 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Dept Management Technol & Econ, Zurich, Switzerland
[2] Southern Univ Sci & Technol, Acad Adv Interdisciplinary Studies, Inst Risk Anal Predict & Management, Shenzhen 518055, Peoples R China
[3] Tokyo Inst Technol, Inst Innovat Res, Tokyo Tech World Res Hub Initiat WRHI, Tokyo, Japan
[4] Univ Geneva, Swiss Finance Inst, Geneva, Switzerland
关键词
Choice under risk; Quantum decision theory; Rank-dependent utility theory; Cumulative prospect theory; STOCHASTIC CHOICE; LIKELIHOOD RATIO; ASSET INTEGRATION; MODEL SELECTION; RISK-AVERSION; PROBABILITY; INFORMATION; PREFERENCES; ECONOMICS; JUDGMENT;
D O I
10.1016/j.joep.2021.102417
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Using experimental data on choices between pairs of lotteries, we compare a new parameterized Quantum Decision Theory (QDT) with Rank Dependent Utility Theory (RDU) and Cumulative Prospect Theory (CPT). At the aggregate level, CPT-based QDT outperforms. At the individual level, the considerable heterogeneity across subjects is best described by the RDU-based QDT, at odds with the conclusion using the representative agent approach. The quantum attraction factor thus plays a key role in describing subjects' behaviors at both levels. A large fraction of subjects exhibit temporal stability of asset integration attitudes. Another significant fraction of subjects are diagnosed to be using mixtures of mental models, which are elicited selectively depending on the nature of the presented choice alternatives.
引用
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页数:21
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