Optimal control and cost-effective analysis of an age-structured emerging infectious disease model

被引:9
作者
Jia, Peiqi [1 ,2 ]
Yang, Junyuan [1 ,2 ]
Li, Xuezhi [3 ]
机构
[1] Shanxi Univ, Complex Syst Res Ctr, Taiyuan 030006, Shanxi, Peoples R China
[2] Shanxi Univ, Shanxi Key Lab Math Tech & Big Data Anal Dis Cont, Taiyuan 030006, Peoples R China
[3] Henan Normal Univ, Sch Math & Informat Sci, Xinxiang 453007, Henan, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金; 山西省青年科学基金;
关键词
Age-structured model; Admissible control; Ekerland variational principle; The basic reproduction number; TRANSMISSION; POPULATION;
D O I
10.1016/j.idm.2021.12.004
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Emerging infectious diseases are one of the global public health problems which may lead to widespread epidemics and potentially life-threatening infection. Integrated vaccination and physical distancing interventions are two elementary methods for preventing infectious diseases transmission. In this paper, we construct a continuous age-structured model for investigating the transmission dynamics of an emerging infection disease during a short period. We derive the basic regeneration number R-0, the spectral radius of the next generation operator K, which determines the disease outbreak or not. Furthermore, we propose an optimal control problem to take account for the cost-effectiveness of social distancing intervention and vaccination. We rigorously obtain sufficient conditions for a L-1 control problem. Numerical simulations show that coupling integrated vaccination and physical distancing intervention could effectively eliminate the infection, and such control strategy is more sensitive for people aged 10-39 and over 60. (C) 2021 The Authors. Publishing services by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of KeAi Communications Co. Ltd.
引用
收藏
页码:149 / 169
页数:21
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