Predicting daily visits to a walk-in clinic and emergency department using calendar and weather data

被引：56

作者：

Holleman, DR

Bowling, RL

Gathy, C

机构：

[1] Medical Service, Lexington Vet. Aff. Medical Center

[2] Ambulatory Care, Lexington Vet. Aff. Medical Center

[3] Department of Medicine, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY

[4] Extended Care, Biloxi Vet. Affairs Medical Center, Biloxi, MS

[5] Medical Service (111K-CDD), Lexington VAMC, Lexington, KY 40511

来源：

JOURNAL OF GENERAL INTERNAL MEDICINE | 1996年 / 11卷 / 04期

关键词：

forecasting; weather; utilization; regression analysis; walk-in clinics;

D O I：

10.1007/BF02642481

中图分类号：

R19 [保健组织与事业（卫生事业管理）];

学科分类号：

摘要：

We studied the association between calendar and weather variables and daily unscheduled patient volume in a walk-in clinic and emergency department. Calendar variables (season, week of month, day of week, holidays, and federal check-delivery days) and weather variables (high temperature and snowfall) forecasted clinic volume, explaining 84% of daily variance and 44% of weekday variance. Staffing according to predicted volume could have decreased overstaffing from 59% to 15% of days, but would have increased understaffing from 2% to 18% of days. Models using calendar and weather data that forecast local utilization may help to schedule staffing for walk-in clinics and emergency departments more efficiently.

引用

页码：237 / 239

页数：3

共 4 条

[1] EFFECT OF SEASON AND WEATHER ON PEDIATRIC EMERGENCY DEPARTMENT USE [J].