Probabilistic projections for 21st century European climate

被引：45
作者：
Harris, G. R. [1 ]
Collins, M. [1 ]
Sexton, D. M. H. [1 ]
Murphy, J. M. [1 ]
Booth, B. B. B. [1 ]
机构：
[1] Met Off, Hadley Ctr, Exeter EX1 3PB, Devon, England
来源：
NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES | 2010年 / 10卷 / 09期
关键词：
MODEL; SENSITIVITY; ENSEMBLE; UNCERTAINTIES;
D O I：
10.5194/nhess-10-2009-2010
中图分类号：
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号：
07 ;
摘要：
We present joint probability distribution functions of future seasonal-mean changes in surface air temperature and precipitation for the European region for the SRES A1B emissions scenario. The probabilistic projections quantify uncertainties in the leading physical, chemical and biological feedbacks and combine information from perturbed physics ensembles, multi-model ensembles and observations.
引用
收藏
页码：2009 / 2020
页数：12
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