A review of climate geoengineering proposals

被引:205
作者
Vaughan, Naomi E. [1 ,2 ]
Lenton, Timothy M. [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Univ E Anglia, Sch Environm Sci, Norwich NR4 7TJ, Norfolk, England
[2] Univ E Anglia, Tyndall Ctr Climate Change Res, Norwich NR4 7TJ, Norfolk, England
基金
英国自然环境研究理事会;
关键词
OCEAN IRON FERTILIZATION; ATMOSPHERIC CARBON-DIOXIDE; EARTHS RADIATION BALANCE; ALBEDO-ENHANCEMENT; CO2; EMISSIONS; PARTIAL NEUTRALIZATION; ALTERNATIVE SOLUTION; TROPOSPHERIC H2CO3; OZONE DEPLETION; NEXT-GENERATION;
D O I
10.1007/s10584-011-0027-7
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Climate geoengineering proposals seek to rectify the current radiative imbalance via either (1) reducing incoming solar radiation (solar radiation management) or (2) removing CO2 from the atmosphere and transferring it to long-lived reservoirs (carbon dioxide removal). For each option, we discuss its effectiveness and potential side effects, also considering lifetime of effect, development and deployment timescale, reversibility, and failure risks. We present a detailed review that builds on earlier work by including the most recent literature, and is more extensive than previous comparative frameworks. Solar radiation management propsals are most effective but short-lived, whilst carbon dioxide removal measures gain effectiveness the longer they are pursued. Solar radiation management could restore the global radiative balance, but must be maintained to avoid abrupt warming, meanwhile ocean acidification and residual regional climate changes would still occur. Carbon dioxide removal involves less risk, and offers a way to return to a pre-industrial CO2 level and climate on a millennial timescale, but is potentially limited by the CO2 storage capacity of geological reservoirs. Geoengineering could complement mitigation, but it is not an alternative to it. We expand on the possible combinations of mitigation, carbon dioxide removal and solar radiation management that might be used to avoid dangerous climate change.
引用
收藏
页码:745 / 790
页数:46
相关论文
共 182 条
[81]  
Kiehl JT, 1997, B AM METEOROL SOC, V78, P197, DOI 10.1175/1520-0477(1997)078<0197:EAGMEB>2.0.CO
[82]  
2
[83]  
Koppmann R., 2007, VOLATILE ORGANIC COM, DOI 10.1002/9780470988657
[84]   Dust-climate couplings over the past 800,000 years from the EPICA Dome C ice core [J].
Lambert, F. ;
Delmonte, B. ;
Petit, J. R. ;
Bigler, M. ;
Kaufmann, P. R. ;
Hutterli, M. A. ;
Stocker, T. F. ;
Ruth, U. ;
Steffensen, J. P. ;
Maggi, V. .
NATURE, 2008, 452 (7187) :616-619
[85]   Ocean fertilization: a potential means of geoengineering? [J].
Lampitt, R. S. ;
Achterberg, E. P. ;
Anderson, T. R. ;
Hughes, J. A. ;
Iglesias-Rodriguez, M. D. ;
Kelly-Gerreyn, B. A. ;
Lucas, M. ;
Popova, E. E. ;
Sanders, R. ;
Shepherd, J. G. ;
Smythe-Wright, D. ;
Yool, A. .
PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES, 2008, 366 (1882) :3919-3945
[86]   CONTROL OF GLOBAL WARMING [J].
LATHAM, J .
NATURE, 1990, 347 (6291) :339-340
[87]   Amelioration of global warming by controlled enhancement of the albedo and longevity of low-level maritime clouds [J].
Latham, John .
ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 2002, 3 (2-4) :52-58
[88]   Global temperature stabilization via controlled albedo enhancement of low-level maritime clouds [J].
Latham, John ;
Rasch, Philip ;
Chen, Chih-Chieh ;
Kettles, Laura ;
Gadian, Alan ;
Gettelman, Andrew ;
Morrison, Hugh ;
Bower, Keith ;
Choularton, Tom .
PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES, 2008, 366 (1882) :3969-3987
[89]   Predicting and monitoring the effects of large-scale ocean iron fertilization on marine trace gas emissions [J].
Law, C. S. .
MARINE ECOLOGY PROGRESS SERIES, 2008, 364 :283-288
[90]   Saturation of the Southern Ocean CO2 sink due to recent climate change [J].
Le Quere, Corinne ;
Roedenbeck, Christian ;
Buitenhuis, Erik T. ;
Conway, Thomas J. ;
Langenfelds, Ray ;
Gomez, Antony ;
Labuschagne, Casper ;
Ramonet, Michel ;
Nakazawa, Takakiyo ;
Metzl, Nicolas ;
Gillett, Nathan P. ;
Heimann, Martin .
SCIENCE, 2008, 319 (5863)