Comment on "The plateau of human mortality: Demography of longevity pioneers"

被引：13

作者：

Beltran-Sanchez, H. ^{[1
]}

Austad, S. N. ^{[2
]}

Finch, C. E. ^{[3
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Calif Los Angeles, Fielding Sch Publ Hlth, Los Angeles, CA USA

[2] Univ Alabama Birmingham, Dept Biol, Birmingham, AL 35294 USA

[3] Univ Southern Calif, Leonard Davis Sch Gerontol, Los Angeles, CA 90007 USA

来源：

SCIENCE | 2018年 / 361卷 / 6409期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1126/science.aav1200

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

Barbi et al. (Reports, 29 June 2018, p. 1459) reported that human mortality rate reached a "plateau" after the age of 105, suggesting there may be no limit to human longevity. We show, using their data, that potential lifespans cannot increase much beyond the current 122 years unless future biomedical advances alter the intrinsic rate of human aging.

引用

页数：2

共 4 条

[1] The plateau of human mortality: Demography of longevity pioneers [J].

Barbi, Elisabetta ;

Lagona, Francesco ;

Marsili, Marco ;

Vaupel, James W. ;

Wachter, Kenneth W. .

SCIENCE, 2018, 360 (6396) :1459-1461

[2] Early cohort mortality predicts the rate of aging in the cohort: a historical analysis [J].

Beltran-Sanchez, H. ;

Crimmins, E. M. ;

Finch, C. E. .

JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENTAL ORIGINS OF HEALTH AND DISEASE, 2012, 3 (05) :380-386

[3] Maximum life span predictions from the Gompertz mortality model [J].

Finch, CE ;

Pike, MC .

JOURNALS OF GERONTOLOGY SERIES A-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES AND MEDICAL SCIENCES, 1996, 51 (03) :B183-B194

[4]

Gavrilova N. S., 2017, 2017 LIVING TO 100, P1

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