What probability probably isn't

被引：1
|
作者：
Howson, Colin
机构：
来源：
ANALYSIS | 2015年 / 75卷 / 01期
关键词：
COHERENCE;
D O I：
10.1093/analys/anu111
中图分类号：
B [哲学、宗教];
学科分类号：
01 ; 0101 ;
摘要：
Joyce and others have claimed that degrees of belief are estimates of truth-values and that the probability axioms are conditions of admissibility for these estimates with respect to a scoring rule penalizing inaccuracy. In this article, I argue that the claim that the rules of probability are truth-directed in this way depends on an assumption that is both implausible and lacks any supporting evidence, strongly suggesting that the probability axioms have nothing intrinsically to do with truth-directedness. © 2014 The Author.
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页码：53 / 59
页数：7
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