Regional climate downscaling over Europe: perspectives from the EURO-CORDEX community

被引：286

作者：

Jacob, Daniela ^{[1
]}

Teichmann, Claas ^{[1
]}

Sobolowski, Stefan ^{[2
]}

Katragkou, Eleni ^{[3
]}

Anders, Ivonne ^{[4
]}

Belda, Michal ^{[5
]}

Benestad, Rasmus ^{[6
]}

Boberg, Fredrik ^{[7
]}

Buonomo, Erasmo ^{[8
,9
]}

Cardoso, Rita M. ^{[10
]}

Casanueva, Ana ^{[11
]}

Christensen, Ole B. ^{[7
]}

Christensen, Jens Hesselbjerg ^{[2
,12
]}

Coppola, Erika ^{[13
]}

De Cruz, Lesley ^{[14
]}

Davin, Edouard L. ^{[15
]}

Dobler, Andreas ^{[6
]}

Dominguez, Marta ^{[16
]}

Fealy, Rowan ^{[17
]}

Fernandez, Jesus ^{[11
]}

Gaertner, Miguel Angel ^{[18
]}

Garcia-Diez, Markel ^{[11
]}

Giorgi, Filippo ^{[13
]}

Gobiet, Andreas ^{[4
]}

Goergen, Klaus ^{[19
,20
]}

Jose Gomez-Navarro, Juan ^{[21
]}

Gonzalez Aleman, Juan Jesus ^{[18
]}

Gutierrez, Claudia ^{[18
]}

Gutierrez, Jose M. ^{[22
]}

Guttler, Ivan ^{[23
]}

Haensler, Andreas ^{[1
]}

Halenka, Tomas ^{[5
]}

Jerez, Sonia ^{[21
]}

Jimenez-Guerrero, Pedro ^{[21
]}

Jones, Richard G. ^{[8
]}

Keuler, Klaus ^{[24
]}

Kjellstrom, Erik ^{[25
]}

Knist, Sebastian ^{[20
,26
]}

Kotlarski, Sven ^{[27
]}

Maraun, Douglas ^{[28
]}

van Meijgaard, Erik ^{[29
]}

Mercogliano, Paola ^{[30
,31
]}

Pedro Montavez, Juan ^{[21
]}

Navarra, Antonio ^{[30
]}

Nikulin, Grigory ^{[25
]}

de Noblet-Ducoudre, Nathalie ^{[32
]}

Panitz, Hans-Juergen ^{[33
]}

Pfeifer, Susanne ^{[1
]}

Piazza, Marie ^{[28
]}

Pichelli, Emanuela ^{[13
]}

机构：

[1] Helmholtz Zentrum Geesthacht, Climate Serv Ctr Germany GERICS, Fischertwiete 1, D-20095 Hamburg, Germany

[2] NORCE Norwegian Res Ctr, Bjerknes Ctr Climate Res, Bergen, Norway

[3] Aristotle Univ Thessaloniki, Sch Geol, Dept Meteorol & Climatol, Thessaloniki, Greece

[4] Cent Inst Meteorol & Geodynam ZAMG, Vienna, Austria

[5] Charles Univ Prague, Fac Math & Phys, Dept Atmospher Phys, Prague, Czech Republic

[6] Norwegian Meteorol Inst, Oslo, Norway

[7] Danish Meteorol Inst, Copenhagen, Denmark

[8] Met Off Hadley Ctr, Fitzroy Rd, Exeter EX1 2HF, Devon, England

[9] Univ Oxford, Sch Geog & Environm, South Parks Rd, Oxford OX1 3QY, England

[10] Univ Lisbon, Fac Ciencias, IDL, P-1749016 Lisbon, Portugal

[11] Univ Cantabria, Dept Appl Math & Comp Sci, Meteorol Grp, Santander, Spain

[12] Univ Copenhagen, Niels Bohr Inst, Copenhagen, Denmark

[13] Abdus Salaam Int Ctr Theoret Phys, Trieste, Italy

[14] RMIB, Brussels, Belgium

[15] Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Inst Atmospher & Climate Sci, Zurich, Switzerland

[16] Agencia Estatal Meteorol, Madrid, Spain

[17] Maynooth Univ, Dept Geog, ICARUS, Maynooth, Kildare, Ireland

[18] Univ Castilla La Mancha, Toledo, Spain

[19] Res Ctr Julich, Inst Bio & Geosci, Agrosphere IBG 3, Julich, Germany

[20] Geoverbund ABC J, Ctr High Performance Sci Comp Terr Syst, Julich, Germany

[21] Univ Murcia, Dept Phys, Reg Atmospher Modeling Grp, Murcia, Spain

[22] Univ Cantabria, Meteorol Grp, Inst Fis Cantabria, CSIC, Santander, Spain

[23] Croatian Meteorol & Hydrol Serv, Zagreb, Croatia

[24] Brandenburg Univ Technol Cottbus Senftenberg, Chair Atmospher Proc, Cottbus, Germany

[25] Swedish Meteorol & Hydrol Inst, Norrkoping, Sweden

[26] Univ Bonn, Meteorol Inst, Bonn, Germany

[27] Fed Off Meteorol & Climatol MeteoSwiss, Zurich, Switzerland

[28] Karl Franzens Univ Graz, Wegener Ctr Climate & Global Change, Graz, Austria

[29] Royal Netherlands Meteorol Inst KNMI, De Bilt, Netherlands

[30] Ctr Euromediterraneo Cambiamenti Climat CMCC, Lecce, Italy

[31] CIRA, Capua, Italy

[32] Univ Paris Saclay, Unite Mixte CEA CNRS UVSQ, Lab Sci Climat & Environm, IPSL, F-91191 Gif Sur Yvette, France

[33] Karlsruhe Inst Technol, Inst Meteorol & Climate Res, Karlsruhe, Germany

[34] Finnish Meteorol Inst, Helsinki, Finland

[35] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA

[36] Helmholtz Zentrum Geesthacht, Geesthacht, Germany

[37] Univ Toulouse, CNRS, Meteo France, CNRM, Toulouse, France

[38] Univ Ghent, Dept Phys & Astron, Ghent, Belgium

[39] Univ Hohenheim, Inst Phys & Meteorol, Stuttgart, Germany

来源：

REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE | 2020年 / 20卷 / 02期

基金：

比利时弗兰德研究基金会;

关键词：

EURO-CORDEX; CORDEX; Climate change; Regional climate models; Regional climate modelling; DAILY PRECIPITATION STATISTICS; LAND-USE; MODEL DESCRIPTION; FUTURE CHANGES; COVER CHANGES; MED-CORDEX; SIMULATIONS; ENSEMBLE; IMPACTS; TEMPERATURE;

D O I：

10.1007/s10113-020-01606-9

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

The European CORDEX (EURO-CORDEX) initiative is a large voluntary effort that seeks to advance regional climate and Earth system science in Europe. As part of the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) - Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX), it shares the broader goals of providing a model evaluation and climate projection framework and improving communication with both the General Circulation Model (GCM) and climate data user communities. EURO-CORDEX oversees the design and coordination of ongoing ensembles of regional climate projections of unprecedented size and resolution (0.11 degrees EUR-11 and 0.44 degrees EUR-44 domains). Additionally, the inclusion of empirical-statistical downscaling allows investigation of much larger multi-model ensembles. These complementary approaches provide a foundation for scientific studies within the climate research community and others. The value of the EURO-CORDEX ensemble is shown via numerous peer-reviewed studies and its use in the development of climate services. Evaluations of the EUR-44 and EUR-11 ensembles also show the benefits of higher resolution. However, significant challenges remain. To further advance scientific understanding, two flagship pilot studies (FPS) were initiated. The first investigates local-regional phenomena at convection-permitting scales over central Europe and the Mediterranean in collaboration with the Med-CORDEX community. The second investigates the impacts of land cover changes on European climate across spatial and temporal scales. Over the coming years, the EURO-CORDEX community looks forward to closer collaboration with other communities, new advances, supporting international initiatives such as the IPCC reports, and continuing to provide the basis for research on regional climate impacts and adaptation in Europe.

引用

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