A DIRECT APPROACH TO A FIRST-PASSAGE PROBLEM WITH APPLICATIONS IN RISK THEORY

被引:10
作者
Landriault, David [1 ]
Sendova, Kristina P. [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Waterloo, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, Waterloo, ON N2L 3G1, Canada
[2] Univ Western Ontario, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, London, ON, Canada
关键词
Dual ruin model; First-passage time; Laplace transform; Risk management; Ruin problem; TIME RUIN PROBABILITIES;
D O I
10.1080/15326349.2011.593402
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
In this article, we consider a risk process which exbihits the key features of companies with steady outflows and sporadic inflows (e. g., discoveries, patents). A risk management policy is further implemented stating that the outflow rate is reduced when no revenue (inflow) is generated within an Erlang-n time period. For the surplus process of interest, a Markovian representation is first given which leads to the form of the solution for the Laplace transform of the time to ruin. A homogeneous linear integro-differential equation for the Laplace transform of the time of ruin is later derived. The boundary conditions of the aforementioned integro-differential equation are used to complete the representation of the Laplace transform of the time to ruin. Finally, numerical applications are considered to illustrate the effectiveness of this risk management policy to lower the company's solvency risk.
引用
收藏
页码:388 / 406
页数:19
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