Modeling the Future Effects of a Menthol Ban on Smoking Prevalence and Smoking-Attributable Deaths in the United States

被引：71

作者：

Levy, David T. ^{[1
,2
]}

Pearson, Jennifer L. ^{[3
]}

Villanti, Andrea C. ^{[3
]}

Blackman, Kenneth ^{[2
]}

Vallone, Donna M. ^{[4
]}

Niaura, Raymond S. ^{[3
]}

Abrams, David B. ^{[3
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Baltimore, Dept Econ, Baltimore, MD 21201 USA

[2] Pacific Inst Res & Evaluat, Beltsville, MD 20705 USA

[3] Amer Legacy Fdn, Schroeder Inst Tobacco Res & Policy Studies, Washington, DC USA

[4] Amer Legacy Fdn, Dept Res & Evaluat, Washington, DC USA

来源：

AMERICAN JOURNAL OF PUBLIC HEALTH | 2011年 / 101卷 / 07期

关键词：

POLICY-SIMULATION-MODEL; AFRICAN-AMERICAN SMOKERS; TOBACCO CONTROL POLICIES; LUNG-CANCER; REDUCING SMOKING; PUBLIC-POLICIES; CIGARETTE USE; RISK; ABSTINENCE; CESSATION;

D O I：

10.2105/AJPH.2011.300179

中图分类号：

R1 [预防医学、卫生学];

学科分类号：

1004 ; 120402 ;

摘要：

We used a validated smoking simulation model and data from the 2003 Tobacco Use Supplement to the Current Population Survey to project the impact that a US menthol ban would have on smoking prevalence and smoking-attributable deaths. In a scenario in which 30% of menthol smokers quit and 30% of those who would have initiated as menthol smokers do not initiate, by 2050 the relative reduction in smoking prevalence would be 9.7% overall and 24.8% for Blacks; deaths averted would be 633252 overall and 237317 for Blacks. (Am J Public Health. 2011;101:1236-1240. doi:10. 2105/AJPH.2011.300179)

引用

页码：1236 / 1240

页数：5

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