Robust utility maximization under model uncertainty via a penalization approach

被引:6
作者
Guo, Ivan [1 ,2 ]
Langrene, Nicolas [3 ]
Loeper, Gregoire [1 ,2 ,4 ]
Ning, Wei [1 ]
机构
[1] Monash Univ, Sch Math Sci, Melbourne, Vic, Australia
[2] Monash Univ, Ctr Quantitat Finance & Investment Strategies, Clayton, Vic, Australia
[3] Commonwealth Sci & Ind Res Org, RiskLab Australia, Data61, Melbourne, Vic, Australia
[4] BNP Paribas Global Markets, Paris, France
基金
澳大利亚研究理事会;
关键词
Robust portfolio optimization; GANs; Monte Carlo; HJBI equation; Differential games; STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL-GAMES; NONLINEAR HJB EQUATIONS; PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION; VOLATILITY; SIMULATION; OPTIONS; SELECTION; RULES;
D O I
10.1007/s11579-021-00301-5
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
This paper addresses the problem of utility maximization under uncertain parameters. In contrast with the classical approach, where the parameters of the model evolve freely within a given range, we constrain them via a penalty function. In addition, our paper dedicates in proposing various numerical algorithms to solve for the value function, including finite difference method, Generative Adversarial Networks and Monte Carlo simulation. These methods contribute to the quantitative techniques for solving robust portfolio optimization problems. We show that this robust optimization process can be interpreted as a two-player zero-sum stochastic differential game. We prove that the value function satisfies the Dynamic Programming Principle and that it is the unique viscosity solution of an associated Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman-Isaacs equation. By testing this robust algorithm on real market data, we show that robust portfolios generally have higher expected utilities and are more stable under strong market downturns.
引用
收藏
页码:51 / 88
页数:38
相关论文
共 63 条
[21]   Robust Optimal Portfolio Choice Under Markovian Regime-switching Model [J].
Elliott, Robert J. ;
Siu, Tak Kuen .
METHODOLOGY AND COMPUTING IN APPLIED PROBABILITY, 2009, 11 (02) :145-157
[22]  
FLEMING W. H., 2006, Controlled Markov processes and viscosity solutions, V25
[23]   ON THE EXISTENCE OF VALUE-FUNCTIONS OF 2-PLAYER, ZERO-SUM STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL-GAMES [J].
FLEMING, WH ;
SOUGANIDIS, PE .
INDIANA UNIVERSITY MATHEMATICS JOURNAL, 1989, 38 (02) :293-314
[24]   PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION WITH AMBIGUOUS CORRELATION AND STOCHASTIC VOLATILITIES [J].
Fouque, Jean-Pierre ;
Pun, Chi Seng ;
Wong, Hoi Ying .
SIAM JOURNAL ON CONTROL AND OPTIMIZATION, 2016, 54 (05) :2309-2338
[25]   Recent advances in robust optimization: An overview [J].
Gabrel, Virginie ;
Murat, Cecile ;
Thiele, Aurelie .
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 2014, 235 (03) :471-483
[26]   Robust Portfolio Control with Stochastic Factor Dynamics [J].
Glasserman, Paul ;
Xu, Xingbo .
OPERATIONS RESEARCH, 2013, 61 (04) :874-893
[27]   Generative Adversarial Networks [J].
Goodfellow, Ian ;
Pouget-Abadie, Jean ;
Mirza, Mehdi ;
Xu, Bing ;
Warde-Farley, David ;
Ozair, Sherjil ;
Courville, Aaron ;
Bengio, Yoshua .
COMMUNICATIONS OF THE ACM, 2020, 63 (11) :139-144
[28]  
Guo I., 2017, ARXIV170908075
[29]   Recursive robust estimation and control without commitment [J].
Hansen, Lars Peter ;
Sargent, Thomas J. .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC THEORY, 2007, 136 (01) :1-27
[30]   Robustness and ambiguity in continuous time [J].
Hansen, Lars Peter ;
Sargent, Thomas J. .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC THEORY, 2011, 146 (03) :1195-1223