The future for fisheries

被引：337

作者：

Pauly, D ^{[1
]}

Alder, J

Bennett, E

Christensen, V

Tyedmers, P

Watson, R

机构：

[1] Univ British Columbia, Fisheries Ctr, Sea Around Us Project, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada

[2] Univ Wisconsin, Ctr Limnol, Madison, WI 53706 USA

[3] Dalhousie Univ, Sch Resource & Environm Studies, Halifax, NS B3H 3J5, Canada

来源：

SCIENCE | 2003年 / 302卷 / 5649期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1126/science.1088667

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

Formal analyses of long-term global marine fisheries prospects have yet to be performed, because fisheries research focuses on local, species-specific management issues. Extrapolation of present trends implies expansion of bottom fisheries into deeper waters, serious impact on biodiversity, and declining global catches, the last possibly aggravated by fuel cost increases. Examination of four scenarios, covering various societal development choices, suggests that the negative trends now besetting fisheries can be turned around, and their supporting ecosystems rebuilt, at least partly.

引用

页码：1359 / 1361

页数：3

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