A Natural Experiment on Job Insecurity and Fertility in France

被引：21

作者：

Clark, Andrew E. ^{[1
]}

Lepinteur, Anthony ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Paris Sch Econ CNRS, Paris, France

[2] Univ Luxembourg, Luxembourg, Luxembourg

来源：

REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS | 2022年 / 104卷 / 02期

关键词：

ECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY; EMPLOYMENT; SELECTION; CHOICE; IMPACT; BIRTH; WAR;

D O I：

10.1162/rest_a_00964

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

Job insecurity can have wide-ranging consequences outside of the labor market. A 1999 rise in the French layoff tax paid by large private firms when they laid off older workers made younger workers less secure; this insecurity reduced their fertility by 3.7 percentage points (with a 95% confidence interval between 0.7 and 6.6 percentage points). Reduced fertility is found only at the intensive margin: job insecurity reduces family size but not the probability of parenthood itself. Our results also suggest negative selection into parenthood, as this fertility effect does not appear for low-income and less-educated workers.

引用

页码：386 / 398

页数：13

共 54 条

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