Unit-root tests for explosive behavior

被引:9
作者
Baum, Christopher F. [1 ]
Otero, Jesus [2 ]
机构
[1] Boston Coll, Chestnut Hill, MA 02167 USA
[2] Univ Rosario, Bogota, Colombia
关键词
st0659; radf; unit root; date-stamping explosive behavior; rolling window; lag length; wild bootstrap; TIME-SERIES; BUBBLES; EXUBERANCE;
D O I
10.1177/1536867X211063405
中图分类号
O1 [数学]; C [社会科学总论];
学科分类号
03 ; 0303 ; 0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要
We present a new command, radf, that tests for explosive behavior in time series. The command computes the right-tail augmented Dickey and Fuller (1979, Journal of the American Statistical Association 74: 427-431) unitroot test and its further developments based on supremum statistics derived from augmented Dickey-Fuller-type regressions estimated using recursive windows (Phillips, Wu, and Yu, 2011, International Economic Review 52: 201-226) and recursive flexible windows (Phillips, Shi, and Yu, 2015, International Economic Review 56: 1043-1078). It allows for the lag length in the test regression and the width of rolling windows to be either specified by the user or determined using data-dependent procedures, and it performs the date-stamping procedures advocated by Phillips, Wu, and Yu (2011) and Phillips, Shi, and Yu (2015) to identify episodes of explosive behavior. It also implements the wild bootstrap proposed by Phillips and Shi (2020, Handbook of Statistics: Financial, Macro and Micro Econometrics Using R, Vol. 42, 61-80) to lessen the potential effects of unconditional heteroskedasticity and account for the multiplicity issue in recursive testing. The use of radf is illustrated with an empirical example.
引用
收藏
页码:999 / 1020
页数:22
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