Indications for healthcare surge capacity in European countries facing an exponential increase in coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases, March 2020

被引:140
作者
Verelst, Frederik [1 ]
Kuylen, Elise [1 ,2 ]
Beutels, Philippe [1 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Antwerp, Vaccine & Infect Dis Inst VAXINFECTIO, CHERMID, Antwerp, Belgium
[2] Hasselt Univ, Interuniv Inst Biostat & Stat Bioinformat, Hasselt, Belgium
[3] Univ New South Wales, Sch Publ Hlth & Community Med, Sydney, NSW, Australia
关键词
D O I
10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.13.2000323
中图分类号
R51 [传染病];
学科分类号
100401 ;
摘要
European healthcare systems face extreme pressure from coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We relate country-specific accumulated COVID-19 deaths (intensity approach) and active COVID-19 cases (magnitude approach) to measures of healthcare system capacity: hospital beds, healthcare workers and healthcare expenditure. Modelled by the intensity approach with a composite measure for healthcare capacity, the countries experiencing the highest pressure on 25 March 2020 - relative to Italy on 11 March - were Italy, Spain, the Netherlands and France (www.covid-hcpressure.org).
引用
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页码:13 / 16
页数:4
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