Machine Learning based Forecasting Systems for Worldwide International Tourists Arrival

被引:0
作者
Mishra, Ram Krishn [1 ]
Urolagin, Siddhaling [1 ]
Jothi, J. Angel Arul [1 ]
Nawaz, Nishad [2 ]
Ramkissoon, Haywantee [3 ]
机构
[1] BITS Pilani, Dept Comp Sci, Dubai Campus, Dubai 345055, U Arab Emirates
[2] Kingdom Univ, Dept Business Management, Coll Business Adm, Riffa, Bahrain
[3] Univ Derby, Coll Business Law & Social Sci, Derby Business Sch, Derby, England
关键词
Tourists; forecasting; machine learning; Covid-19; SUPPORT VECTOR REGRESSION; TIME-SERIES; NEURAL-NETWORKS; DEMAND; MODELS; ARIMA; ALGORITHMS; ACCURACY; GROWTH;
D O I
10.14569/IJACSA.2021.0121107
中图分类号
TP301 [理论、方法];
学科分类号
081202 ;
摘要
The international tourist movement has overgrown in recent decades, and travelers are considered a significant source of income to the tourism economy. When tourists visit a place, they spend considerable money on their enjoyment, travel, and hotel accommodations. In this research, tourist data from 2010 to 2020 have been extracted and extended with depth analysis of different dimensions to identify valuable features. This research attempts to use machine learning regression techniques such as Support Vector Regression (SVR) and Random Forest Regression (RFR) to forecast and predict worldwide international tourist arrivals and achieved forecasting accuracy using SVR is 99.4% and using RFR is 84.7%. The study also analyzed the forecasting deadlock condition after covid-19 in the sudden drop of international visitors due to lockdown enforcement by all countries.
引用
收藏
页码:55 / 64
页数:10
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