Econometrics with system priors

被引:4
作者
Andrle, Michal [1 ]
Plasil, Miroslav [2 ]
机构
[1] Int Monetary Fund, Res Dept, 700 19th St NW, Washington, DC 20431 USA
[2] Czech Natl Bank, Financial Stabil Div, Prikope 28, Prague 11530 1, Czech Republic
关键词
Bayesian analysis; System priors; Time series; TREND INFLATION; TIME-VARIATION; MODELS; ECONOMY;
D O I
10.1016/j.econlet.2018.08.038
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper introduces "system priors" into Bayesian econometrics and provides an illustrative application. Unlike priors on individual parameters, system priors offer and efficient way of formulating economically meaningful priors about model properties. Illustrative example restricts output gap dynamics to business cycle frequencies. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:134 / 137
页数:4
相关论文
共 16 条
[1]  
Andrle M., 2013, WP13257 INT MON FUND
[2]  
Andrle M., 2017, INT MONETARY FUND
[3]   Testing for time variation in an unobserved components model for the US economy [J].
Berger, Tino ;
Everaert, Gerdie ;
Vierke, Hauke .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS & CONTROL, 2016, 69 :179-208
[4]   A Bounded Model of Time Variation in Trend Inflation, Nairu and the Phillips Curve [J].
Chan, Joshua C. C. ;
Koop, Gary ;
Potter, Simon M. .
JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMETRICS, 2016, 31 (03) :551-565
[5]   Introducing financial frictions and unemployment into a small open economy model [J].
Christiano, Lawrence J. ;
Trabandt, Mathias ;
Walentin, Karl .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS & CONTROL, 2011, 35 (12) :1999-2041
[6]   Evaluating alternative models of trend inflation [J].
Clark, Todd E. ;
Doh, Taeyoung .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 2014, 30 (03) :426-448
[7]   Priors from general equilibrium models for vars [J].
Del Negro, M ;
Schorfheide, F .
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC REVIEW, 2004, 45 (02) :643-673
[8]   Forming priors for DSGE models (and how it affects the assessment of nominal rigidities) [J].
Del Negro, Marco ;
Schorfheide, Frank .
JOURNAL OF MONETARY ECONOMICS, 2008, 55 (07) :1191-1208
[9]  
Giannone D., 2016, PRIORS LONG RUN
[10]   General model-based filters for extracting cycles and trends in economic time series [J].
Harvey, AC ;
Trimbur, TM .
REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, 2003, 85 (02) :244-255