Winter floods in Britain are connected to atmospheric rivers

被引：300

作者：

Lavers, David A. ^{[1
]}

Allan, Richard P. ^{[2
]}

Wood, Eric F. ^{[3
]}

Villarini, Gabriele ^{[3
,4
]}

Brayshaw, David J. ^{[2
]}

Wade, Andrew J. ^{[5
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Reading, Walker Inst, Dept Meteorol, Reading RG6 6AR, Berks, England

[2] Univ Reading, Natl Ctr Atmospher Sci, Dept Meteorol, Reading RG6 6AR, Berks, England

[3] Princeton Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA

[4] Willis Res Network, London, England

[5] Univ Reading, Dept Geog & Environm Sci, Walker Inst, Reading RG6 6AR, Berks, England

来源：

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS | 2011年 / 38卷

基金：

英国自然环境研究理事会;

关键词：

CLIMATE-CHANGE; ENGLAND; RISK;

D O I：

10.1029/2011GL049783

中图分类号：

P [天文学、地球科学];

学科分类号：

07 ;

摘要：

Damage from flooding in the winter and fall seasons has been widespread in the United Kingdom (UK) and Western Europe over recent decades. Here we show that winter flood events in the UK are connected to Atmospheric Rivers (ARs), narrow ribbons along which a large flux of moisture is transported from the subtropics to the mid-latitudes. Combining river flow records with rainfall measurements, satellite data and model simulations, we demonstrate that ARs occur simultaneously with the 10 largest winter flood events since 1970 in a range of British river basins, suggesting that ARs are persistently critical in explaining extreme winter flooding in the UK. Understanding the physical processes that determine the persistence of AR events will be of importance in assessing the risk of future flooding over north-western Europe and other mid-latitude regions. Citation: Lavers, D. A., R. P. Allan, E. F. Wood, G. Villarini, D. J. Brayshaw, and A. J. Wade (2011), Winter floods in Britain are connected to atmospheric rivers, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L23803, doi:10.1029/2011GL049783.

引用

页数：8

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