Analysis of extreme precipitation over the Peripannonian region of Bosnia Hercegovina

被引:9
作者
Popov, Tatjana [1 ]
Gnjato, Slobodan [1 ]
Trbic, Goran [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Banja Luka, Fac Nat Sci & Math, Dept Geog, Mladena Stojanovica 2, Banja Luka 78000, Republic Of Srp, Bosnia & Herceg
来源
IDOJARAS | 2018年 / 122卷 / 04期
关键词
extreme precipitation indices; trend; probability density functions; generalized extreme value distribution; climate change; Peripannonian region (Bosnia and Herzegovina); DAILY TEMPERATURE; TRENDS; INDEXES; EUROPE; VARIABILITY;
D O I
10.28974/idojaras.2018.4.5
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
Changes in extreme precipitation indices over the Peripannonian region of Bosnia and Herzegovina were examined. Data on daily precipitation during the period 1961-2016 from four meteorological stations were used for the calculation of 13 indices recommended by the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI) for the climate change assessment. The precipitation change assessment covered trend analysis and analysis of changes in distribution. Determined patterns of change were neither spatially nor temporally coherent. The estimated trends in extreme precipitation indices were mixed in sign and mostly insignificant. Moreover, no significant changes in distribution of majority indices were determined. However, the upward trends in heavy precipitation indices RX1day, RX5day, R95p, and R99p indicate changes towards more intense precipitation. Understanding patterns of precipitation changes is of a great pertinence in many applied studies: flood risks management, agricultural planning, water resources management, environment conservation, etc.
引用
收藏
页码:433 / 452
页数:20
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