Predictions of Taxi Demand Based on Neural Network Algorithms

被引:4
作者
Lin, Chung-Yi [1 ,2 ]
Tung, Shen-Lung [1 ,3 ]
Lu, Po-Wen [1 ,4 ]
Liu, Tzu-Cheng [1 ,5 ]
机构
[1] Chunghwa Telecom Labs Ltd, 99 Dianyan Rd, Taoyuan 326402, Taiwan
[2] Natl Taiwan Univ, Grad Inst Networking & Multimedia, Taipei, Taiwan
[3] Natl Cent Univ, Dept Elect Engn, Taoyuan, Taiwan
[4] Natl Tsing Hua Univ, Dept Power Mech Engn, Hsinchu, Taiwan
[5] Natl Taiwan Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Informat Management, Taipei, Taiwan
关键词
Taxi demand prediction; Taxi dispatch area; Neural networks;
D O I
10.1007/s13177-020-00248-9
中图分类号
U [交通运输];
学科分类号
08 ; 0823 ;
摘要
To increase the profit both of taxi drivers and operators, this paper proposes an approach that efficiently collects the features of a customized-shape dispatch area to build the multivariate time-series prediction models for forecasting taxi demands. We also considered population distribution obtained from IMSI (International Mobile Subscriber Identity) data as the spatial correlations feature. The predictive models are built on some neural network algorithms and analyzed statistically. The experiments show that the predictions of the taxi demand in the next 30 minutes are successfully achieved. It is noteworthy that our approach outperforms the forecasting accuracy proved by a real-world error metric.
引用
收藏
页码:477 / 495
页数:19
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