The emergence of an electric mobility trajectory

被引：235

作者：

Dijk, Marc ^{[1
]}

Orsato, Renato J. ^{[2
]}

Kemp, Rene ^{[3
,4
]}

机构：

[1] Maastricht Univ, Int Ctr Integrated Assessment & Sustainable Dev I, NL-6200 MD Maastricht, Netherlands

[2] Getulio Vargas Fdn FGV, Sao Paulo Sch Business EAESP, BR-01332000 Sao Paulo, Brazil

[3] Maastricht Univ, ICIS, NL-6200 MD Maastricht, Netherlands

[4] Maastricht Univ, UNU MERIT, NL-6200 MD Maastricht, Netherlands

来源：

ENERGY POLICY | 2013年 / 52卷

关键词：

Electric cars; Socio-technical transition; Future pathways; MULTILEVEL PERSPECTIVE; INNOVATION; TRANSITIONS; INDUSTRY;

D O I：

10.1016/j.enpol.2012.04.024

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

In this paper, we analyse the emergence of a trajectory of electric moblity. We describe developments in electric vehicles before and after 2005. The central thesis of the paper is that electric mobility has crossed a critical threshold and is benefitting from various developments whose influence can be expected to grow in importance: high oil prices, carbon constraints, and rise of organised car sharing and intermodality. We find that the development of vehicle engine technology depends on changes in (fueling) infrastructure, changes in mobility, changes in the global car market, evolution of energy prices, climate policy, and changes in the electricity sector. Special attention is given to interaction of technological alternatives: how these work out for the future of battery electric vehicles, hybrid electric vehicles and hydrogen fuel cell vehicles. (C) 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：135 / 145

页数：11

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