Climate change and its marginalizing effect on agriculture

被引：25

作者：

Mestre-Sanchis, Fernando ^{[1
]}

Luisa Feijoo-Bello, Maria ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Zaragoza, Dept Econ, E-50009 Zaragoza, Spain

来源：

ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS | 2009年 / 68卷 / 03期

关键词：

Climate change; Multicriteria decision; EPIC; Agriculture sector; GCMs; UNITED-STATES; ELEVATED CO2; SIMULATION; YIELD; CROPS;

D O I：

10.1016/j.ecolecon.2008.07.015

中图分类号：

Q14 [生态学（生物生态学）];

学科分类号：

071012 ; 0713 ;

摘要：

The agriculture of some areas considered marginal in the EU agricultural context is being questioned due to its low productivity and growing dependence on economic aid programs Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). This study shows that climate change increases these areas marginalisation of since worsens crop growth conditions. The influence of climate change on the agricultural sector is analyzed using the Multicriteria Decision Paradigm with information provided by the Erosion-Productivity Impact Calculator (EPIC) and a General Circulation Model (GCM) as inputs for multicriteria mathematical programming models. The results obtained show climate change effects on the crop portfolio. Further results suggest that climate change effects are not only economics and environmental, reducing the suitable area for crops, but also social as it causes loss of jobs in the agricultural sector. (C) 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：896 / 904

页数：9

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