Climate Change Vulnerability and Grwoth Strategy of Ski Industry in Xinjiang-An SD Approach

被引：0

作者：

Xue Xun ^{[1
]}

Xu Honggang ^{[2
]}

Li Lanhai ^{[3
]}

机构：

[1] Sun Yat Sen Univ, Sch Geog & Planning, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China

[2] Sun Yat Sen Univ, Ctr Tourism Planning & Res, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China

[3] Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, Urumqi, Peoples R China

来源：

PROCEEDINGS OF THE 4TH CONFERENCE ON SYSTEMS SCIENCE, MANAGEMENT SCIENCE AND SYSTEMS DYNAMICS, SSMSSD10, VOL 4 | 2011年

关键词：

ski industry; Xinjiang; investment; system dynamic modeling; vulnerability assessment; ADAPTATION; TOURISM;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

This study presents a dynamic model of the ski industry development system impacted by climate change, and the results of its simulation. The results imply that climate change which continuously decreases snowfall and shortens snow season will be a dangerous threat to the newborn ski industry in Xinjiang. By assessing the ski systems' vulnerability the result suggests a prudent investment strategy is critical to mitigate the impact of climate change and prevent the industry collapse.

引用

页码：219 / 226

页数：8

共 22 条

[1] Harmonising climate change adaptation and mitigation: The case of tourist resorts in Fiji [J].

Becken, S .

GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS, 2005, 15 (04) :381-393

[2]

Becken S, 2007, CLIM CHANG ECON SOC, P1

[3] Modeling vulnerability and resilience to climate change: A case study of India and Indian states [J].

Brenkert, AL ;

Malone, EL .

CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2005, 72 (1-2) :57-102

[4]

Dubois G., 2006, Journal of Sustainable Tourism, V14, P399, DOI 10.2167/jost539.0

[5] Climate change as a threat to tourism in the Alps [J].

Elsasser, H ;

Bürki, R .

CLIMATE RESEARCH, 2002, 20 (03) :253-257

[6]

Ford A., 1999, MODELING ENV

[7]

Koenig U., 1997, Journal of Sustainable Tourism, V5, P46, DOI 10.1080/09669589708667275

[8] Streamflow Forecast and Reservoir Operation Performance Assessment Under Climate Change [J].

Li, Lanhai ;

Xu, Honggang ;

Chen, Xi ;

Simonovic, S. P. .

WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT, 2010, 24 (01) :83-104

[9]

Li P., 2001, Acta Meteorologica Sinica, V59, P491, DOI [10.11676/qxxb2001.052, DOI 10.11676/QXXB2001.052]

[10]

Luo Y., 2008, DESERT OASIS METEORO, V2, P1

← 1 2 3 →