Preoperative anthropomorphic and nutritious status and fistula risk score for predicting clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy

Background Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is a life-threatening postoperative complication. The aim of this study was to evaluate the efficacy of the fistula risk score (FRS) and preoperative body composition factors for predicting the occurrence of clinically relevant POPF (CR-POPF) after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). Methods In this study, 136 consecutive patients who underwent PD between 2006 and 2018 were enrolled. The risk factors of CR-POPF (grades B and C) were analyzed. Preoperative visceral adipose tissue area (VATA), skeletal mass index (SMI), and subcutaneous adipose tissue area (SATA) were calculated from computed tomography data. Results The overall 30-day mortality and morbidity rates were 0.7 and 38%, respectively. The incidence rates of grade B and C CR-POPF were 27 and 4%, respectively. A univariate analysis revealed that male sex, habitual smoking, prognostic nutritional index (PNI) < 45, VATA >= 90, VATA/SATA >= 0.9, VATA/SMI >= 1.4, and FRS > 4 were significantly associated with the incidence of CR-POPF. A multivariate analysis revealed that PNI < 45, VATA/SMI >= 1.4 and FRS > 4 were the independent risk factors of CR-POPF. Conclusions Preoperative anthropomorphic imbalance, PNI, and FRS were independent risk factors for CR-POPF. Patients with high-risk factors should be closely monitored during the postoperative period.