Climate-change-driven accelerated sea-level rise detected in the altimeter era

被引：645

作者：

Nerem, R. S. ^{[1
]}

Beckley, B. D. ^{[2
]}

Fasullo, J. T. ^{[3
]}

Hamlington, B. D. ^{[4
]}

Masters, D. ^{[1
]}

Mitchum, G. T. ^{[5
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Colorado, Cooperat Inst Res Environm Sci, Ann & HJ Smead Aerosp Engn Sci, Colorado Ctr Astrodynam Res, Boulder, CO 80309 USA

[2] Stinger Ghaffarian Technol Inc, NASA, Goddard Space Flight Ctr, Greenbelt, MD 20771 USA

[3] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Boulder, CO 80305 USA

[4] Old Dominion Univ, Norfolk, VA 23529 USA

[5] Univ S Florida, Coll Marine Sci, St Petersburg, FL 33701 USA

来源：

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA | 2018年 / 115卷 / 09期

关键词：

sea level; acceleration; climate change; satellite altimetry; SATELLITE ALTIMETRY; TOPEX;

D O I：

10.1073/pnas.1717312115

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

Using a 25-y time series of precision satellite altimeter data from TOPEX/Poseidon, Jason-1, Jason-2, and Jason-3, we estimate the climate-change-driven acceleration of global mean sea level over the last 25 y to be 0.084 +/- 0.025 mm/y(2). Coupled with the average climate-change-driven rate of sea level rise over these same 25 y of 2.9 mm/y, simple extrapolation of the quadratic implies global mean sea level could rise 65 +/- 12 cm by 2100 compared with 2005, roughly in agreement with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 5th Assessment Report (AR5) model projections.

引用

页码：2022 / 2025

页数：4

共 33 条

[1] Satellite Altimetry-Based Sea Level at Global and Regional Scales [J].

Ablain, M. ;

Legeais, J. F. ;

Prandi, P. ;

Marcos, M. ;

Fenoglio-Marc, L. ;

Dieng, H. B. ;

Benveniste, J. ;

Cazenave, A. .

SURVEYS IN GEOPHYSICS, 2017, 38 (01) :7-31

[2] A REVIEW OF GLOBAL OCEAN TEMPERATURE OBSERVATIONS: IMPLICATIONS FOR OCEAN HEAT CONTENT ESTIMATES AND CLIMATE CHANGE [J].

Abraham, J. P. ;

Baringer, M. ;

Bindoff, N. L. ;

Boyer, T. ;

Cheng, L. J. ;

Church, J. A. ;

Conroy, J. L. ;

Domingues, C. M. ;

Fasullo, J. T. ;

Gilson, J. ;

Goni, G. ;

Good, S. A. ;

Gorman, J. M. ;

Gouretski, V. ;

Ishii, M. ;

Johnson, G. C. ;

Kizu, S. ;

Lyman, J. M. ;

Macdonald, A. M. ;

Minkowycz, W. J. ;

Moffitt, S. E. ;

Palmer, M. D. ;

Piola, A. R. ;

Reseghetti, F. ;

Schuckmann, K. ;

Trenberth, K. E. ;

Velicogna, I. ;

Willis, J. K. .

REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS, 2013, 51 (03) :450-483

[3] Changes in global net radiative imbalance 1985-2012 [J].

Allan, Richard P. ;

Liu, Chunlei ;

Loeb, Norman G. ;

Palmer, Matthew D. ;

Roberts, Malcolm ;

Smith, Doug ;

Vidale, Pier-Luigi .

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2014, 41 (15) :5588-5597

[4] On the "Cal-Mode" Correction to TOPEX Satellite Altimetry and Its Effect on the Global Mean Sea Level Time Series [J].

Beckley, B. D. ;

Callahan, P. S. ;

Hancock, D. W., III ;

Mitchum, G. T. ;

Ray, R. D. .

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS, 2017, 122 (11) :8371-8384

[5] Assessment of the Jason-2 Extension to the TOPEX/Poseidon, Jason-1 Sea-Surface Height Time Series for Global Mean Sea Level Monitoring [J].

Beckley, B. D. ;

Zelensky, N. P. ;

Holmes, S. A. ;

Lemoine, F. G. ;

Ray, R. D. ;

Mitchum, G. T. ;

Desai, S. D. ;

Brown, S. T. .

MARINE GEODESY, 2010, 33 :447-471

[6] The 2011 La Nina: So strong, the oceans fell [J].

Boening, Carmen ;

Willis, Josh K. ;

Landerer, Felix W. ;

Nerem, R. Steven ;

Fasullo, John .

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2012, 39

[7]

Chen XY, 2017, NAT CLIM CHANGE, V7, P492, DOI [10.1038/nclimate3325, 10.1038/NCLIMATE3325]

[8] Improved estimates of ocean heat content from 1960 to 2015 [J].

Cheng, Lijing ;

Trenberth, Kevin E. ;

Fasullo, John ;

Boyer, Tim ;

Abraham, John ;

Zhu, Jiang .

SCIENCE ADVANCES, 2017, 3 (03)

[9] A 20th century acceleration in global sea-level rise [J].

Church, JA ;

White, NJ .

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2006, 33 (01)

[10]

Church JA, 2014, CLIMATE CHANGE 2013: THE PHYSICAL SCIENCE BASIS, P1137

← 1 2 3 4 →