Comparison of HIPOCAS and ERA wind and wave reanalyses in the North Atlantic Ocean

被引:55
作者
Campos, R. M. [1 ]
Guedes Soares, C. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Nova Lisboa, Inst Super Tecn, Ctr Marine Technol & Ocean Engn CENTEC, P-1200 Lisbon, Portugal
关键词
Wind-wave hindcasts; Reanalysis assessment; Extreme events; North Atlantic Ocean; REGIONAL CLIMATE MODEL; HINDCAST; UNCERTAINTY; HEIGHT; VARIABILITY; PREDICTIONS; SENSITIVITY; VALIDATION; INTERIM;
D O I
10.1016/j.oceaneng.2015.12.028
中图分类号
U6 [水路运输]; P75 [海洋工程];
学科分类号
0814 ; 081505 ; 0824 ; 082401 ;
摘要
Two pairs of comparisons between HIPOCAS and ERA reanalysis are performed in this paper. HIPOCAS is a hindcast developed under a European project and it is the result of the wave model WAM forced by REMO surface winds in the North Atlantic. ERA-40 and ERA-Interim were developed by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, adopting the wave model WAM, covering the whole globe. A quick introductory comparison of HIPOCAS against ERA-40 is initially provided, which are hindcasts produced almost at the same time with common features. The main analysis covers a detailed comparison of HIPOCAS and ERA-Interim, which can be considered an update of ERA-40, followed by a comparison of both datasets against satellite data. Wind speed and significant wave height are the two variables considered. In order to compare the described wind and wave datasets, a common period and area were defined, with latitudes between 20 degrees and 68 degrees North and longitudes between 50 degrees and 0 degrees West, from 1979 till 2001. The differences for the whole dataset and for extreme events (upper percentiles) are calculated. A spatial and time integration is applied to determine where and when the main differences between hindcasts occur. The results show a relatively good agreement between HIPOCAS and both ERA 40 and ERA-Interim reanalysis for calm and moderate weather conditions. There is a large increase of the differences under extreme conditions, occurring mainly during the winter at mid-high latitudes. ERA Interim presents the best results against measurements but suggests some underestimation under extreme events at mid-high latitudes. HIPOCAS tends to overestimate the measurements and over predict both ERA reanalyses in the range of extreme values. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:320 / 334
页数:15
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