共 18 条
Characteristics of measured extreme thunderstorm near-surface wind gusts in the United States
被引:17
作者:
Lombardo, Franklin T.
[1
]
Zickar, Alexander S.
[1
]
机构:
[1] Univ Illinois, Urbana, IL 61801 USA
关键词:
Thunderstorm;
Wind directionality;
Extreme value analysis;
Clustering;
PROBABILITY;
SPEEDS;
EVENTS;
D O I:
10.1016/j.jweia.2019.103961
中图分类号:
TU [建筑科学];
学科分类号:
0813 ;
摘要:
Winds generated from thunderstorms have been shown to be important in wind engineering. However, the collection of data for these events has been limited. In this study, thunderstorm wind speeds from airport surface stations (i.e., ASOS) in the United States (U.S.) were analyzed. Overall the analysis showed significant directional and regional preferences. The results revealed that a large majority of thunderstorm wind speeds >75 mph (33.4 m/s) had a westerly component and had a preference toward the central United States. Annual maximum wind speeds >29 mph (12.4 m/s) from over 400 ASOS stations were employed in a cluster analysis using k-means. For both non-directional and directional analyses, the statistical character of the wind speeds is different for different wind speed magnitudes. Probability distributions fit to the data showed best fit to a generalized extreme value distribution with an average shape parameter of approximately -0.1, suggesting a Gumbel fit would be conservative. Statistical analysis also revealed the significance of small sample sizes and the presence of 'outliers', that when analyzed, had a significant effect on the parameters of the fitted probability distribution. A simple data-driven methodology is proposed to utilize both site-specific and regional data in extreme wind analysis.
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页数:13
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