An Adaptive Two-Stage Dose-Response Design Method for Establishing Proof of Concept

We propose an adaptive two-stage dose-response design where a prespecified adaptation rule is used to add and/or drop treatment arms between the stages. We extend the multiple comparison procedures-modeling (MCP-Mod) approach into a two-stage design. In each stage, we use the same set of candidate dose-response models and test for a dose-response relationship or proof of concept (PoC) via model-associated statistics. The stage-wise test results are then combined to establish global PoC using a conditional error function. Our simulation studies showed good and more robust power in our design method compared to conventional and fixed designs.