Levee Overtopping Risk Assessment under Climate Change Scenario in Kao-Ping River, Taiwan

被引：3

作者：

Wei, Hsiao-Ping ^{[1
]}

Su, Yuan-Fong ^{[1
]}

Cheng, Chao-Tzuen ^{[1
]}

Yeh, Keh-Chia ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Natl Sci & Technol Ctr Disaster Reduct, New Taipei 23143, Taiwan

[2] Natl Chiao Tung Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Hsinchu 30010, Taiwan

来源：

SUSTAINABILITY | 2020年 / 12卷 / 11期

关键词：

climate change; overtopping risk; levee; EXTREME; PRECIPITATION;

D O I：

10.3390/su12114511

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

With the growing concern about the failure risk of river embankments in a rapidly changing climate, this study aims to quantify the overtopping probability of river embankment in Kao-Ping River basin in southern Taiwan. A water level simulation model is calibrated and validated with historical typhoon events and the calibrated model is further used to assess overtopping risk in the future under a climate change scenario. A dynamic downscaled projection dataset, provided by Meteorological Research Institute (MRI) has been further downscaled to 5-km grids and bias-corrected with a quantile mapping method, is used to simulate the water level of Kao-Ping River in the future. Our results highlighted that the overtopping risk of Kao-Ping River increased by a factor of 5.7 similar to 8.0 by the end of the 21st century.

引用

页数：12

共 50 条

[41] Assessment of future runoff trends under multiple climate change scenarios in the Willamette River Basin, Oregon, USA [J].

Jung, Il-Won ;

Chang, Heejun .

HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, 2011, 25 (02) :258-277

[42] Assessment of hydrological response in Subarnarekha river basin under anticipated climate change scenarios [J].

Rao, Madhusudana C. ;

Bardhan, A. ;

Patra, J. P. .

GLOBAL NEST JOURNAL, 2020, 22 (02) :207-219

[43] Assessment of vulnerability of river basins in Ghana to water stress conditions under climate change [J].

Obuobie, Emmanuel ;

Kankam-Yeboah, Kwabena ;

Amisigo, Barnabas ;

Opoku-Ankomah, Yaw ;

Ofori, Deborah .

JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE, 2012, 3 (04) :276-286

[44] Integrated assessment of water resources vulnerability under climate change in Haihe River Basin [J].

Yang, Xiao-Hua ;

Di, Chong-Li ;

He, Jun ;

Zhang, Jian ;

Li, Yu-Qi .

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF NUMERICAL METHODS FOR HEAT & FLUID FLOW, 2015, 25 (08) :1834-1844

[45] Flood hazard mapping under a climate change scenario in a Ribb catchment of Blue Nile River basin, Ethiopia [J].

Robi, Muluken Abera ;

Abebe, Adane ;

Pingale, Santosh Murlidhar .

APPLIED GEOMATICS, 2019, 11 (02) :147-160

[46] Water Resources Allocation Systems under Irrigation Expansion and Climate Change Scenario in Awash River Basin of Ethiopia [J].

Gedefaw, Mohammed ;

Wang, Hao ;

Yan, Denghua ;

Qin, Tianling ;

Wang, Kun ;

Girma, Abel ;

Batsuren, Dorjsuren ;

Abiyu, Asaminew .

WATER, 2019, 11 (10)

[47] Flood hazard mapping under a climate change scenario in a Ribb catchment of Blue Nile River basin, Ethiopia [J].

Muluken Abera Robi ;

Adane Abebe ;

Santosh Murlidhar Pingale .

Applied Geomatics, 2019, 11 :147-160

[48] Engineering Procedure for the Climate Change Flood Risk Assessment in the Upper Thames River Basin [J].

Eum, Hyung-Il ;

Sredojevic, Dragan ;

Simonovic, Slobodan P. .

JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGIC ENGINEERING, 2011, 16 (07) :608-612

[49] Spatial modeling the climate change risk of river basins via climate classification: a scenario-based prediction approach for Türkiye [J].

Isinkaralar, Oznur ;

Isinkaralar, Kaan ;

Sevik, Hakan ;

Kucuk, Omer .

NATURAL HAZARDS, 2024, 120 (01) :511-528

[50] Spatial modeling the climate change risk of river basins via climate classification: a scenario-based prediction approach for Türkiye [J].

Oznur Isinkaralar ;

Kaan Isinkaralar ;

Hakan Sevik ;

Ömer Küçük .

Natural Hazards, 2024, 120 :511-528

← 1 2 3 4 5 →