A Markov Chain Based Method for Probabilistic Load Flow with Wind Power

被引：0
|
作者：
Zhu, Jin-Zhou [1 ]
Zhao, Teng [1 ]
Zhang, Yan [1 ]
机构：
[1] Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Dept Elect Engn, Shanghai, Peoples R China
来源：
2017 IEEE POWER & ENERGY SOCIETY GENERAL MEETING | 2017年
关键词：
Convolution; Markov chain; probabilistic load flow; probability-frequency distribution function; wind power; MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION; SYSTEM RELIABILITY; MODEL;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号：
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要：
On the basis of Markov chain, this paper proposes a frequency and duration method for probabilistic load flow (PLF) analysis with wind power by improving the probability-frequency distribution function (PFDF) method. With this proposed method, the probability, frequency, and duration information of random output variables in the PLF problem can be efficiently computed by convolution and addition operation of PFDFs for random input variables. A numerical test on the modified IEEE-RTS79 grid verifies the effectiveness of the proposed method.
引用
收藏
页数：5
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] Wind Power Forecasting Error Distributions and Probabilistic Load Dispatch
    Lujano-Rojas, J. M.
    Osorio, G. J.
    Matias, J. C. O.
    Catalao, J. P. S.
    2016 IEEE POWER AND ENERGY SOCIETY GENERAL MEETING (PESGM), 2016,
  • [42] Point estimate method for probabilistic load flow of an unbalanced power distribution system with correlated wind and solar sources
    Delgado, C.
    Dominguez-Navarro, J. A.
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ELECTRICAL POWER & ENERGY SYSTEMS, 2014, 61 : 267 - 278
  • [43] A Probabilistic Wind Farm Model for Probabilistic Load Flow Calculation
    Li, Xue
    Pei, Jianxia
    Zhang, Shaohua
    2010 ASIA-PACIFIC POWER AND ENERGY ENGINEERING CONFERENCE (APPEEC), 2010,
  • [44] Mixed Probabilistic and Interval Optimal Power Flow Considering Uncertain Wind Power and Dispatchable Load
    Guo, Xiaoxuan
    Gong, Renxi
    Bao, Haibo
    IEEJ TRANSACTIONS ON ELECTRICAL AND ELECTRONIC ENGINEERING, 2018, 13 (02) : 246 - 252
  • [45] Probabilistic Load Flow for Assessment of Wind Power Integration Using a C-Vine Copula Function
    Lee R.
    Shin H.
    Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers, 2022, 71 (01): : 35 - 44
  • [46] Probabilistic Load Flow Method Based on Nataf Transformation and Latin Hypercube Sampling
    Chen, Yan
    Wen, Jinyu
    Cheng, Shijie
    IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SUSTAINABLE ENERGY, 2013, 4 (02) : 294 - 301
  • [47] A Regional Wind Power Probabilistic Forecast Method Based on Deep Quantile Regression
    Yu, Yixiao
    Han, Xueshan
    Yang, Ming
    Zhang, Yumin
    2020 IEEE/IAS 56TH INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL POWER SYSTEMS TECHNICAL CONFERENCE (I&CPS), 2020,
  • [48] Probabilistic Forecast of PV Power Generation Based on Higher Order Markov Chain
    Sanjari, Mohammad Javad
    Gooi, H. B.
    IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS, 2017, 32 (04) : 2942 - 2952
  • [49] Probabilistic Constrained Load Flow Considering Integration of Wind Power Generation and Electric Vehicles
    Vlachogiannis, John G.
    IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS, 2009, 24 (04) : 1808 - 1817
  • [50] Studies on Voltage Fluctuation in the Integration of Wind Power Plants Using Probabilistic Load Flow
    Bie, Zhaohong
    Li, Gan
    Liu, Hui
    Wang, Xifan
    Wang, Xiuli
    2008 IEEE POWER & ENERGY SOCIETY GENERAL MEETING, VOLS 1-11, 2008, : 4850 - +
12345