Forecasting of wind speed using multiple linear regression and artificial neural networks

被引:33
作者
Barhmi, Soukaina [1 ]
Elfatni, Omkaltoume [1 ]
Belhaj, Ismail [1 ]
机构
[1] Fac Sci Rabat, Lab High Energy Phys Modeling & Simulat, Rabat, Morocco
来源
ENERGY SYSTEMS-OPTIMIZATION MODELING SIMULATION AND ECONOMIC ASPECTS | 2020年 / 11卷 / 04期
关键词
Wind energy; Wind speed; Prediction; Artificial neural networks; Multiple linear regression; PREDICTION; PARAMETERS; ANN;
D O I
10.1007/s12667-019-00338-y
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
In this paper, two methods are developed for the prediction of wind speed, namely, the Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) in north and south regions of Morocco for three years (i.e., 2011-2012-2013). The first method consists of determining the parameters which most significantly influence the wind speed in order to build a regression model between the predictors and the dependent variable. The second proposed approach is ANNs where the neural network chosen is the multilayer perceptron that uses the back-bropagation (BP) as a supervised learning technique for training. The results show that both MLR and ANNs models predict the wind speed at an acceptable correlation coefficient between the actual and predicted wind speed. However, the ANNs perform better in terms of statistical errors notably in terms of mean absolute error, mean absolute percentage error and mean square error.
引用
收藏
页码:935 / 946
页数:12
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