Minimal Building Flood Fragility and Loss Function Portfolio for Resilience Analysis at the Community Level

被引:32
作者
Nofal, Omar M. [1 ]
van de Lindt, John W. [1 ]
机构
[1] Colorado State Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Ft Collins, CO 80523 USA
关键词
flood risk; flood damage; flood fragility; flood loss; community resilience; multi-variate analysis; RISK-ASSESSMENT; RESIDENTIAL BUILDINGS; DAMAGE ASSESSMENT; UNCERTAINTY; MODEL; METHODOLOGY;
D O I
10.3390/w12082277
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Current flood vulnerability analyses rely on deterministic methods (e.g., stage-damage functions) to quantify resulting damage and losses to the built environment. While such approaches have been used extensively by communities, they do not enable the propagation of uncertainty into a risk- or resilience-informed decision process. In this paper, a method that allows the development of building fragility and building loss functions is articulated and applied to develop an archetype portfolio that can be used to model buildings in a typical community. The typical single-variable flood vulnerability function, normally based on flood depth, is extended to a multi-variate flood vulnerability function, which is a function of both flood depth and flood duration, thereby creating fragility surfaces. The portfolio presented herein consists of 15 building archetypes that can serve to populate a community-level model to predict damage and resulting functionality from a scenario flood event. The prediction of damage and functionality of buildings within a community is the first step in developing risk-informed mitigation decisions to improve community resilience.
引用
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页数:47
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