A Market-Based Study of the Cost of Default

被引:73
作者
Davydenko, Sergei A. [1 ]
Strebulaev, Ilya A. [2 ,3 ]
Zhao, Xiaofei [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Toronto, Rotman Sch Management, Toronto, ON M5S 3E6, Canada
[2] Stanford Univ, Grad Sch Business, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
[3] NBER, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
关键词
CAPITAL STRUCTURE; FINANCIAL DISTRESS; STRUCTURAL MODELS; TERM STRUCTURES; CREDIT SPREADS; BANKRUPTCY; RISK; FIRMS; LIQUIDATION; TRANSACTIONS;
D O I
10.1093/rfs/hhs091
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
This article proposes a novel method of extracting the cost of default from the change in the market value of a firm's assets upon default. Using a large sample of firms with observed prices of debt and equity that defaulted over fourteen years, we estimate the cost of default for an average defaulting firm to be 21.7% of the market value of assets. The costs vary from 14.7% for bond renegotiations to 30.5% for bankruptcies, and are substantially higher for investment-grade firms (28.8%) than for highly levered bond issuers (20.2%), which extant estimates are based on exclusively. (JEL G21, G30, G33).
引用
收藏
页码:2959 / 2999
页数:41
相关论文
共 63 条
[1]   Does industry-wide distress affect defaulted firms? Evidence from creditor recoveries [J].
Acharya, Viral V. ;
Bharath, Sreedhar T. ;
Srinivasan, Arland .
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS, 2007, 85 (03) :787-821
[2]   The risk-adjusted cost of financial distress [J].
Almeida, Heitor ;
Philippon, Thomas .
JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 2007, 62 (06) :2557-2586
[3]   FINANCIAL RATIOS, DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION OF CORPORATE BANKRUPTCY [J].
ALTMAN, EI .
JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 1968, 23 (04) :589-609
[4]   A FURTHER EMPIRICAL-INVESTIGATION OF THE BANKRUPTCY COST QUESTION [J].
ALTMAN, EI .
JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 1984, 39 (04) :1067-1089
[5]   How costly is financial (not economic) distress? Evidence from highly leveraged transactions that became distressed [J].
Andrade, G ;
Kaplan, SN .
JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 1998, 53 (05) :1443-1493
[6]  
[Anonymous], 2004, J INVEST MANAG
[7]   ANATOMY OF FINANCIAL DISTRESS - AN EXAMINATION OF JUNK-BOND ISSUERS [J].
ASQUITH, P ;
GERTNER, R ;
SCHARFSTEIN, D .
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 1994, 109 (03) :625-658
[8]  
Berndt A., 2005, MEASURING DEFAULT RI
[9]   Do tender offers create value? New methods and evidence [J].
Bhagat, S ;
Dong, M ;
Hirshleifer, D ;
Noah, R .
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS, 2005, 76 (01) :3-60
[10]   The Aggregate Dynamics of Capital Structure and Macroeconomic Risk [J].
Bhamra, Harjoat S. ;
Kuehn, Lars-Alexander ;
Strebulaev, Ilya A. .
REVIEW OF FINANCIAL STUDIES, 2010, 23 (12) :4187-4241