A Laboratory Experiment for Analyzing Electors' Strategic Behavior in a First-Past-the-Post System

被引:2
作者
Chirita, Andrei [1 ,2 ]
Delcea, Camelia [1 ]
机构
[1] Bucharest Univ Econ Studies, Dept Econ Informat & Cybernet, Bucharest 010552, Romania
[2] Bucharest Univ, Dept Hist, Bucharest 030167, Romania
来源
SYMMETRY-BASEL | 2020年 / 12卷 / 07期
关键词
strategic behavior; first-past-the-post; political science; tactical voting; Duverger's law; utility functions; asymmetrical payoffs; decision change; aggregate behavior; complexity; democracy; symmetric information; VOTER PARTICIPATION; ELECTIONS; TURNOUT;
D O I
10.3390/sym12071081
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
As it is well acknowledged that the electoral system is one of the fundamental rocks of our modern society, the behavior of electors engaged in a voting system is of the utmost importance. In this context, the goal of the study is to model the behavior of voters in a first-past-the-post system and to analyze its consequences on a party system. Among the assumptions of this study is Duverger's law, which states that first-past-the-post systems favor a two-party system as the voters engage in tactical voting, choosing to vote in favor of a less preferred candidate who has better odds of winning. In order to test this assumption and to better analyze the occurrence of the strategic behavior, a laboratory experiment was created. A total of 120 persons participated in the study. An asymmetrical payoff function was created to value the voters' preference intensity. As a result, it was observed that as voters got used to the voting system, they engaged in more tactical voting behavior in order to either maximize the gain or minimize the loss of their choice. Moreover, the iterations where voters started displaying tactical behavior featured a clustering around two main choices. The obtained results are consistent with both the empirical results of real-life elections and Duverger's law. A further discussion regarding the change in voters' choice completes the analysis on the strategic behavior.
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页数:29
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