Critical assessment of the revised guidelines for vancomycin therapeutic drug monitoring

Background: The revised vancomycin guidelines recommend replacing trough-only with trough or peak/trough Bayesian and first-order equations monitoring, citing their better AUC predictions and poor AUC-trough R2. Yet, evidence suggesting good AUC-trough correlation has been overlooked, and the optimality of peak/trough samples has been doubted. The guidelines recommend Bayesian programs implement richly-sampled PopPK priors despite their scarcity. Therefore, whether complex Bayesian and sample-demanding first-order equations can bring significant advantages to the practice over simple trough-only monitoring is worth weighing.Objectives: The primary aim is to compare the predictive performance of the AUC monitoring methods. Then, we investigate the impact of not adhering to trough sampling on the Bayesian-based predictions. Moreover, we report the nature of PopPK priors used in Bayesian programs to assess the applicability of the guideline recommendations.Methods: We calculated the predictive performance of the monitoring methods using a standard PopPK modeling and simulation approach. We thoroughly explored the prior PK models implemented in Bayesian programs. Results: Predictive performances of the monitoring methods were comparable at steady-state relative to the number of samples. Contrary to the recommendation, Bayesian trough monitoring did not result in better pre-dictive performances compared to using random levels. Very few programs implemented richly-sampled priors.Conclusion: All the monitoring methods can be, relatively, reliable at steady-state, if properly implemented. Although only Bayesian-based monitoring can be used pre-steady-state, its predictive performance can be modest. Trough-only monitoring is the simplest approach. Constraints regarding trough sampling times could be relaxed. The scarcity of richly-sampled Bayesian priors questions the applicability of the revised guidelines recommendation.