The Behavior of an SIR Epidemic Model with Stochastic Perturbation

被引:103
作者
Ji, Chunyan [1 ,2 ]
Jiang, Daqing [1 ]
Shi, Ningzhong [1 ]
机构
[1] NE Normal Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Changchun 130024, Jilin, Peoples R China
[2] Changshu Inst Technol, Dept Math, Changshu, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
关键词
Asymptotically stable in the large; Disease-free equilibrium; Endemic equilibrium; Exponentially mean-square stable; Stochastic Lyapunov function; Stochastic SIR model; GLOBAL STABILITY; TIME DELAYS; DIFFERENTIAL-EQUATIONS; NUMERICAL-SIMULATION; ENVIRONMENT; DYNAMICS;
D O I
10.1080/07362994.2012.684319
中图分类号
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号
070104 ;
摘要
In this article, we discuss an SIR model with stochastic perturbation. We show that there is a nonnegative solution that belongs to a positively invariant set. Then, by stochastic Lyapunov functional methods, we deduce the globally asymptotical stability and exponential meansquare stability of the disease-free equilibrium under some conditions, which means the disease will die out. Comparing with the deterministic model, there is no endemic equilibrium. To show when the disease will prevail, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of the solution around the endemic equilibrium of the deterministic model. Last, we illustrate the dynamic behavior of the model and their approximations via a range of numerical experiments.
引用
收藏
页码:755 / 773
页数:19
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