Experimental designs for identifying causal mechanisms

被引:252
作者
Imai, Kosuke [1 ]
Tingley, Dustin [2 ]
Yamamoto, Teppei [3 ]
机构
[1] Princeton Univ, Dept Polit, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
[2] Harvard Univ, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
[3] MIT, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA
关键词
Causal inference; Direct and indirect effects; Identification; Instrumental variables; Mediation; PRINCIPAL STRATIFICATION; SENSITIVITY-ANALYSIS; POTENTIAL OUTCOMES; MEDIATION ANALYSIS; INFERENCE; BOUNDS; MODELS; NONCOMPLIANCE; DIAGNOSTICS; STATISTICS;
D O I
10.1111/j.1467-985X.2012.01032.x
中图分类号
O1 [数学]; C [社会科学总论];
学科分类号
03 ; 0303 ; 0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要
Experimentation is a powerful methodology that enables scientists to establish causal claims empirically. However, one important criticism is that experiments merely provide a black box view of causality and fail to identify causal mechanisms. Specifically, critics argue that, although experiments can identify average causal effects, they cannot explain the process through which such effects come about. If true, this represents a serious limitation of experimentation, especially for social and medical science research that strives to identify causal mechanisms. We consider several experimental designs that help to identify average natural indirect effects. Some of these designs require the perfect manipulation of an intermediate variable, whereas others can be used even when only imperfect manipulation is possible. We use recent social science experiments to illustrate the key ideas that underlie each of the designs proposed.
引用
收藏
页码:5 / 51
页数:47
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