Predictive analytics of PM10 concentration levels using detailed traffic data

被引:13
作者
Lesnik, Uros [1 ]
Mongus, Domen [2 ]
Jesenko, David [2 ]
机构
[1] Natl Lab Hlth Environm & Food, Prvomajska Ulica 1, SI-2000 Maribor, Slovenia
[2] Univ Maribor, Fac Elect Engn & Comp Sci, Koroska Cesta 46, SI-2000 Maribor, Slovenia
关键词
PM10; Predictive analytics; Traffic; Knowledge discovery; Genetic algorithm; Particulate matter; PARTICULATE MATTER PM10; NEURAL-NETWORK; AIR-POLLUTION; MODELS; TRENDS; EMISSIONS; FORECAST; QUALITY; AVERAGE;
D O I
10.1016/j.trd.2018.11.015
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
PM10 particles impose significant risks to human health and the well-being of individuals in general. However, due to the complexity of the inner-correlations between influencing environmental factors, the holistic approach to predictive analytics of PM10 concentration levels is a challenging task yet to be undertaken. We base this study on the rationale that a prediction model is suitable for making accurate estimations involving knowledge about the hidden interactions that govern them. In addition to the model's precision, it is, therefore, beneficial to provide a model that is interpretable, as this can assist in the decision about how and which prevention actions to take. For this purpose, a Genetic Algorithm is proposed that carries out multiple regression analysis by searching for the optimal fictional definition of a prediction model. As such, the obtained model is human interpretable, where the preliminary analysis conducted within this study proved its compliance with the existing studies, while the model itself proved to be considerably more accurate than the present state-of-the-art.
引用
收藏
页码:131 / 141
页数:11
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