Verification of mesoscale forecasts in the 2014 Olympic Games region for the first test period. Part I: Verification techniques and polygonal quality assessments of the COSMO model forecasts

被引：2

作者：

Murav'ev, A. V. ^{[1
]}

Bundel, A. Yu. ^{[1
]}

Kiktev, D. B. ^{[1
]}

Blinov, D. V. ^{[1
]}

Smirnov, A. V. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Hydrometeorol Res Ctr Russian Federat, Moscow 123242, Russia

来源：

RUSSIAN METEOROLOGY AND HYDROLOGY | 2013年 / 38卷 / 11期

基金：

俄罗斯基础研究基金会;

关键词：

15;

D O I：

10.3103/S1068373913110010

中图分类号：

P4 [大气科学（气象学）];

学科分类号：

0706 ; 070601 ;

摘要：

Described is a system of verification of mesoscale hydrodynamic forecasts for the territory of Sochi-2014 Winter Olympic Games worked out within the framework of FROST-2014 international project. A technological line comprises the observational and model output databases, the computing verification complex, and the optional program aids for aggregation and visualization of products. The METv4.0 verification complex developed in cooperation with forecasting and research centers of the USA is used as a core. The effectiveness of the verification system is demonstrated with the COSMO model products for the period of December 1, 2011-March 31, 2012. Preliminary assessments of the model potential in forecasting the surface air temperature, the velocity of the scalar wind, and the sea-level air pressure are made with the quality score aggregation over the selected polygons of verification.

引用

页码：723 / 734

页数：12

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