Exploring factors affecting the injury severity of freeway tunnel crashes: A random parameters approach with heterogeneity in means and variances

被引:42
|
作者
Pervez, Amjad [1 ]
Lee, Jaeyoung [1 ,2 ]
Huang, Helai [1 ]
机构
[1] Cent South Univ, Sch Traff & Transportat Engn, Changsha 410075, Hunan, Peoples R China
[2] Univ Cent Florida, Dept Civil Environm & Construct Engn, Orlando, FL 32816 USA
来源
ACCIDENT ANALYSIS AND PREVENTION | 2022年 / 178卷
关键词
Freeway tunnel; Traffic safety; Injury severity; Random parameters model; Unobserved heterogeneity; ROLLOVER CRASHES; VEHICLE CRASHES; ROAD TUNNEL; RISK; NOVICE; MASS;
D O I
10.1016/j.aap.2022.106835
中图分类号
TB18 [人体工程学];
学科分类号
1201 ;
摘要
Generally, freeway tunnels are built to overcome the complex driving environments in mountainous terrains. However, crashes in these tunnels can be more severe than those on the open road sections due to their closed driving environment. Despite the higher crash severity, very few studies have attempted to investigate the severity of injuries in freeway tunnel crashes. Also, the existing studies on the injury severity analysis of tunnels did not fully consider the unobserved heterogeneity and its interactive effects. To address these issues, the present study first collected a comprehensive dataset containing five-year of police-reported tunnel crashes from Hunan province, China. A random parameters model with heterogeneity in means and variances was then developed to explore the influence of different variables related to the environment, drivers, crashes, vehicles, and tunnels. The study observed that the presence of curves and speeding indicators produce random parameters with heterogeneity in means and variances for freeway tunnels, which is influenced by the young drivers and outside exit zone variables. Also, the results reveal that factors, including weekdays, daytime, speeding, fatigue driving, rear-end collisions, collisions with fixtures, large passenger vehicles, and downgrades increase, while rain reduces the probability of severe injury outcomes in freeway tunnel crashes. More importantly, considering the unique tunnel driving environment, the summer, young drivers, novice drivers, presence of curves, and different tunnel sections (access, entrance, and outside exit zones) also significantly affect the risk of severe injury outcomes. Finally, the study's findings could be used as a basis for developing plans and technologies to minimize the severity of crash injuries in freeway tunnels.
引用
收藏
页数:8
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