Mammographic breast density, its changes, and breast cancer risk in premenopausal and postmenopausal women

Background The risk of breast cancer related to changes in breast density over time, including its regression and persistence, remains controversial. The authors investigated the relationship between breast density and its changes over time with the development of breast cancer in premenopausal and postmenopausal women. Methods The current cohort study included 74,249 middle-aged Korean women (aged >= 35 years) who were free of breast cancer at baseline and who underwent repeated screening mammograms. Mammographic breast density was categorized according to the American College of Radiology Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS). A dense breast was defined as heterogeneously dense or extremely dense, and changes in dense breasts between baseline and subsequent follow-up were classified as none, developed, regressed, or persistent dense breast. Results During a median follow-up of 6.1 years (interquartile range, 4.1-8.8 years), a total of 803 incident breast cancers were identified. Baseline breast density was found to be positively associated with incident breast cancer in a dose-response manner, and this association did not significantly differ by menopausal status. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for breast cancer comparing "heterogeneously dense" and "extremely dense" categories with the nondense category were 1.96 (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.40-2.75) and 2.86 (95% CI, 2.04-4.01), respectively. With respect to changes in dense breasts over time, multivariable-adjusted HRs for breast cancer comparing persistent dense breast with none were 2.37 (95% CI, 1.34-4.21) in premenopausal women and 3.61 (95% CI, 1.78-7.30) in postmenopausal women. Conclusions Both baseline dense breasts and their persistence over time were found to be strongly associated with an increased risk of incident breast cancer in premenopausal and postmenopausal women. Lay Summary Both baseline breast density and its changes over time were found to be independently associated with the risk of breast cancer in both premenopausal and postmenopausal women. The risk of incident breast cancer increased in women with persistent dense breasts, whereas the breast cancer risk decreased as dense breasts regressed. The findings of the current study support that both dense breasts at baseline and their persistence over time are independent risk factors for developing breast cancer.