The dynamic linkages of fiscal and current account deficits: New evidence from five highly indebted European countries accounting for regime shifts and asymmetries

被引:39
|
作者
Trachanas, Emmanouil [1 ]
Katrakilidis, Constantinos [1 ]
机构
[1] Aristotle Univ Thessaloniki, Dept Econ, Thessaloniki 54124, Greece
关键词
Fiscal deficit; Current account deficit; Twin deficits; Structural breaks; Asymmetric cointegration; LONG-RUN DETERMINANTS; ECONOMIC TIME-SERIES; US TRADE BALANCE; TWIN DEFICITS; BUDGET DEFICITS; UNIT-ROOT; COINTEGRATION; HYPOTHESIS; TESTS; MODELS;
D O I
10.1016/j.econmod.2012.12.026
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This article provides new empirical evidence on the long-term relationship between the fiscal and current account imbalances, of five European economies under financial market pressure and insolvency; Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain. We attempt to re-evaluate the dynamic linkages between the twin-deficits allowing for the presence of structural breaks and asymmetries. The evidence is in favor of the "twin deficits hypothesis". More insight is further provided through the magnitude and significance of the asymmetric linkages between the twin deficits in the long-run time horizon. Our findings indicate that fiscal deficit decreases have a greater impact on the current account deficit rather than the opposite. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:502 / 510
页数:9
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