Global injury morbidity and mortality from 1990 to 2017: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

被引:13
|
作者
James, Spencer L. [1 ]
Castle, Chris D. [1 ]
Dingels, Zachary, V [1 ]
Fox, Jack T. [1 ]
Hamilton, Erin B. [1 ]
Liu, Zichen [1 ]
Roberts, Nicholas L. S. [1 ]
Sylte, Dillon O. [1 ]
Henry, Nathaniel J. [1 ]
LeGrand, Kate E. [1 ]
Abdelalim, Ahmed [2 ]
Abdoli, Amir [3 ]
Abdollahpour, Ibrahim [4 ]
Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi [5 ]
Abedi, Aidin [6 ]
Abosetugn, Akine Eshete [7 ]
Abushouk, Abdelrahman, I [8 ]
Adebayo, Oladimeji M. [9 ]
Agudelo-Botero, Marcela [10 ]
Ahmad, Tauseef [11 ,12 ]
Ahmed, Rushdia [13 ,14 ]
Ahmed, Muktar Beshir [15 ]
Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine [16 ]
Alahdab, Fares [17 ]
Alamene, Genet Melak [18 ]
Alanezi, Fahad Mashhour [19 ]
Alebel, Animut [20 ]
Alema, Niguse Meles [21 ]
Alghnam, Suliman A. [22 ]
Al-Hajj, Samar [23 ,24 ]
Ali, Beriwan Abdulqadir [25 ,26 ]
Ali, Saqib [27 ]
Alikhani, Mahtab [28 ]
Alinia, Cyrus [29 ]
Alipour, Vahid [30 ,31 ]
Aljunid, Syed Mohamed [32 ,33 ]
Almasi-Hashiani, Amir [34 ]
Almasri, Nihad A. [35 ]
Altirkawi, Khalid [36 ]
Amer, Yasser Sami Abdeldayem [37 ,38 ]
Amini, Saeed [39 ]
Amit, Arianna Maever Loreche [40 ,41 ]
Andrei, Catalina Liliana [42 ]
Ansari-Moghaddam, Alireza [43 ]
Antonio, Carl Abelardo T. [44 ,45 ]
Appiah, Seth Christopher Yaw [46 ,47 ]
Arabloo, Jalal [30 ]
Arab-Zozani, Morteza [48 ]
Arefi, Zohreh [49 ]
Aremu, Olatunde [50 ]
机构
[1] Univ Washington, Inst Hlth Metr & Evaluat, Seattle, WA 98121 USA
[2] Cairo Univ, Dept Neurol, Cairo, Egypt
[3] Jahrom Univ Med Sci, Dept Parasitol & Mycol, Jahrom, Iran
[4] Isfahan Univ Med Sci, Neurosci Res Ctr, Esfahan, Iran
[5] Minist Hlth, Dept Publ Hlth, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
[6] Univ Southern Calif, Dept Orthopaed Surg, Los Angeles, CA 90007 USA
[7] Debre Berhan Univ, Dept Publ Hlth, Debre Berhan, Ethiopia
[8] Ain Shams Univ, Cardiovasc Med, Abbasiya, Egypt
[9] Univ Coll Hosp, Dept Med, Ibadan, Nigeria
[10] Univ Nacl Autonoma Mexico, Ctr Polit Populat & Hlth Res, Sch Med, Mexico City, DF, Mexico
[11] Southeast Univ Nanjing, Dept Epidemiol & Hlth Stat, Nanjing, Peoples R China
[12] Hazara Univ Mansehra, Dept Microbiol, Mansehra, Pakistan
[13] BRAC Univ, James P Grant Sch Publ Hlth, Dhaka, Bangladesh
[14] Int Ctr Diarrhoeal Dis Res, Hlth Syst & Populat Studies Div, Dhaka, Bangladesh
[15] Jimma Univ, Dept Epidemiol, Jimma, Ethiopia
[16] Higher Natl Sch Vet Med, Algiers, Algeria
[17] Mayo Clin Fdn Med Educ & Res, Evidence Based Practice Ctr, Rochester, MN USA
[18] Madda Walabu Univ, Sch Hlth Sci, Bale Goba, Ethiopia
[19] Imam Abdulrehman Bin Faisal Univ, Dept Comp Sci, Dammam, Saudi Arabia
[20] Debre Markos Univ, Dept Nursing, Debre Markos, Ethiopia
[21] Adigrat Univ, Dept Pharm, Adigrat, Ethiopia
[22] King Abdullah Int Med Res Ctr, Dept Populat Hlth Res, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
[23] Amer Univ Beirut, Fac Hlth Sci Hlth Management & Policy, Beirut, Lebanon
[24] British Columbia Childrens Hosp, British Columbia Injury Res Prevent Unit, Res Inst, Vancouver, BC, Canada
[25] Erbil Polytech Univ, Med Tech Inst, Erbil, Iraq
[26] Ishik Univ, Fac Pharm, Erbil, Iraq
[27] Sultan Qaboos Univ, Coll Econ & Polit Sci, Dept Informat Syst, Muscat, Oman
[28] Iran Univ Med Sci, Sch Hlth Management & Informat Sci, Dept Hlth Serv Management, Tehran, Iran
[29] Urmia Univ Med Sci, Dept Hlth Care Management & Econ, Orumiyeh, Iran
[30] Iran Univ Med Sci, Hlth Management & Econ Res Ctr, Tehran, Iran
[31] Iran Univ Med Sci, Hlth Econ Dept, Tehran, Iran
[32] Kuwait Univ, Dept Hlth Policy & Management, Safat, Kuwait
[33] Natl Univ Malaysia, Int Ctr Casemix & Clin Coding, Bandar Tun Razak, Malaysia
[34] Arak Univ Med Sci, Dept Epidemiol, Arak, Iran
[35] Univ Jordan, Physiotherapy Dept, Amman, Jordan
[36] King Saud Univ, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
[37] King Saud Univ, Clin Practice Guidelines Unit, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
[38] Alexandria Univ, Alexandria Ctr Evidence Based Clin Practice Guide, Alexandria, Egypt
[39] Arak Univ Med Sci, Hlth Serv Management Dept, Arak, Iran
[40] Univ Philippines Manila, Dept Epidemiol & Biostat, Manila, Philippines
[41] Johns Hopkins Univ, Online Programs Appl Learning, Baltimore, MD USA
[42] Carol Davila Univ Med & Pharm, Bucharest, Romania
[43] Hlth Promot Res Ctr, Dept Epidemiol & Biostat, Zahedan, Iran
[44] Univ Philippines Manila, Dept Hlth Policy & Adm, Manila, Philippines
[45] Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Dept Appl Social Sci, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
[46] Kwame Nkrumah Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Sociol & Social Work, Kumasi, Ghana
[47] Ludwig Maximilians Univ Munchen, Ctr Int Hlth, Munich, Germany
[48] Birjand Univ Med Sci, Social Determinants Hlth Res Ctr, Birjand, Iran
[49] Univ Tehran Med Sci, Dept Hlth Promot & Educ, Tehran, Iran
[50] Birmingham City Univ, Sch Hlth Sci, Birmingham, W Midlands, England
关键词
burden of disease; global; descriptive epidemiology; SYSTEMATIC ANALYSIS; LIFE EXPECTANCY;
D O I
10.1136/injuryprev-2019-043494
中图分类号
R1 [预防医学、卫生学];
学科分类号
1004 ; 120402 ;
摘要
Background Past research in population health trends has shown that injuries form a substantial burden of population health loss. Regular updates to injury burden assessments are critical. We report Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 Study estimates on morbidity and mortality for all injuries. Methods We reviewed results for injuries from the GBD 2017 study. GBD 2017 measured injury-specific mortality and years of life lost (YLLs) using the Cause of Death Ensemble model. To measure non-fatal injuries, GBD 2017 modelled injury-specific incidence and converted this to prevalence and years lived with disability (YLDs). YLLs and YLDs were summed to calculate disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). Findings In 1990, there were 4 260 493 (4 085 700 to 4 396 138) injury deaths, which increased to 4 484 722 (4 332 010 to 4 585 554) deaths in 2017, while age-standardised mortality decreased from 1079 (1073 to 1086) to 738 (730 to 745) per 100 000. In 1990, there were 354 064 302 (95% uncertainty interval: 338 174 876 to 371 610 802) new cases of injury globally, which increased to 520 710 288 (493 430 247 to 547 988 635) new cases in 2017. During this time, age-standardised incidence decreased non-significantly from 6824 (6534 to 7147) to 6763 (6412 to 7118) per 100 000. Between 1990 and 2017, age-standardised DALYs decreased from 4947 (4655 to 5233) per 100 000 to 3267 (3058 to 3505). Interpretation Injuries are an important cause of health loss globally, though mortality has declined between 1990 and 2017. Future research in injury burden should focus on prevention in high-burden populations, improving data collection and ensuring access to medical care.
引用
收藏
页码:96 / 114
页数:19
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