Technical Note: Bias correcting climate model simulated daily temperature extremes with quantile mapping

被引:425
作者
Thrasher, B. [1 ,2 ]
Maurer, E. P. [3 ]
McKellar, C. [4 ]
Duffy, P. B. [5 ]
机构
[1] Climate Analyt Grp, Palo Alto, CA 94303 USA
[2] Climate Cent, Princeton, NJ 08542 USA
[3] Santa Clara Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Santa Clara, CA 95053 USA
[4] San Jose State Univ, Dept Meteorol & Climate Sci, San Jose, CA 95126 USA
[5] Lawrence Livermore Natl Lab, Livermore, CA 94550 USA
关键词
PROJECTIONS; STREAMFLOW; IMPACTS;
D O I
10.5194/hess-16-3309-2012
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
When applying a quantile mapping-based bias correction to daily temperature extremes simulated by a global climate model (GCM), the transformed values of maximum and minimum temperatures are changed, and the diurnal temperature range (DTR) can become physically unrealistic. While causes are not thoroughly explored, there is a strong relationship between GCM biases in snow albedo feedback during snowmelt and bias correction resulting in unrealistic DTR values. We propose a technique to bias correct DTR, based on comparing observations and GCM historic simulations, and combine that with either bias correcting daily maximum temperatures and calculating daily minimum temperatures or vice versa. By basing the bias correction on a base period of 1961-1980 and validating it during a test period of 1981-1999, we show that bias correcting DTR and maximum daily temperature can produce more accurate estimations of daily temperature extremes while avoiding the pathological cases of unrealistic DTR values.
引用
收藏
页码:3309 / 3314
页数:6
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