Evaluating Central Banks? tool kit: Past, present, and future *

被引:67
作者
Sims, Eric [1 ]
Wu, Jing Cynthia [1 ]
机构
[1] NBER, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
Zero lower bound; Unconventional monetary policy; Quantitative easing; Negative interest rate policy; Forward guidance; Quantitative tightening; DSGE; Great recession; Effective lower bound; UNCONVENTIONAL MONETARY-POLICY; NATURAL RATE; INFLATION; SHOCKS; QE;
D O I
10.1016/j.jmoneco.2020.03.018
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We develop a structural DSGE model to systematically study the principal tools of unconventional monetary policy - quantitative easing (QE), forward guidance, and negative terest rate policy (NIRP) - as well as the interactions between them. To generate the same output response, the requisite NIRP and forward guidance interventions are twice as as a conventional policy shock, which seems implausible in practice. In contrast, QE an endogenous feedback rule can alleviate the constraints on conventional policy posed the zero lower bound. Quantitatively, QE1-QE3 can account for two thirds of the observed decline in the "shadow" Federal Funds rate. In spite of its usefulness, QE does not come without cost. A large balance sheet has consequences for different normalization plans, efficacy of NIRP, and the effective lower bound on the policy rate.
引用
收藏
页码:135 / 160
页数:26
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