Dynamic Transmission Modeling: A Report of the ISPOR-SMDM Modeling Good Research Practices Task Force Working Group-5

被引：104

作者：

Pitman, Richard ^{[1
]}

Fisman, David ^{[2
]}

Zaric, Gregory S. ^{[3
]}

Postma, Maarten ^{[4
]}

Kretzschmar, Mirjam ^{[5
,6
]}

Edmunds, John ^{[7
]}

Brisson, Marc ^{[8
,9
]}

机构：

[1] Oxford Outcomes, Oxford OX2 0JJ, England

[2] Univ Toronto, Div Epidemiol, Dalla Lana Sch Publ Hlth, Toronto, ON, Canada

[3] Univ Western Ontario, Ivey Sch Business, London, ON, Canada

[4] Univ Groningen, Dept Pharm, Unit PharmacoEpidemiol & PharmacoEcon, Groningen, Netherlands

[5] Univ Med Ctr Utrecht, Julius Ctr Hlth Sci & Primary Care, Bilthoven, Netherlands

[6] RIVM, Ctr Infect Dis Control, Bilthoven, Netherlands

[7] London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Ctr Math Modelling Infect Dis, London WC1, England

[8] CHA Univ Quebec, Ctr Rech FRSQ, URESP, Quebec City, PQ, Canada

[9] Univ Laval, Dept Med Sociale & Prevent, Quebec City, PQ, Canada

来源：

MEDICAL DECISION MAKING | 2012年 / 32卷 / 05期

关键词：

modeling; methods; dynamic transmission; good practices; infectious disease; COST-EFFECTIVENESS; VACCINATION PROGRAMS; CHLAMYDIA-TRACHOMATIS; HAEMOPHILUS-INFLUENZAE; ANTIBIOTIC-RESISTANCE; SEXUAL-BEHAVIOR; EPIDEMIOLOGY; IMPACT; VARICELLA; VACCINES;

D O I：

10.1177/0272989X12454578

中图分类号：

R19 [保健组织与事业（卫生事业管理）];

学科分类号：

摘要：

The transmissible nature of communicable diseases is what sets them apart from other diseases modeled by health economists. The probability of a susceptible individual becoming infected at any one point in time (the force of infection) is related to the number of infectious individuals in the population, will change over time, and will feed back into the future force of infection. These nonlinear interactions produce transmission dynamics that require specific consideration when modeling an intervention that has an impact on the transmission of a pathogen. Best practices for designing and building these models are set out in this paper.

引用

页码：712 / 721

页数：10

共 65 条

[1] Changing epidemiology of invasive Haemophilus influenzae in Ontario, Canada: Evidence for herd effects and strain replacement due to Hib vaccination [J].